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EQNR or SU or XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Equinor ASA (EQNR) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) vs. ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EQNR boasts the strongest year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 70%, driven by oil price strength and operational discipline.
- SU follows with about 53% YTD gains, supported by record production and robust cash flows in recent market activity.
- XOM delivers more tempered 28% YTD returns, reflecting its scale amid recent price pullbacks.
- All three offer dividend yields between 2.6% and 3.9%, providing income stability in a volatile energy sector.
- Recent weeks show EQNR and SU outperforming on momentum, while XOM faces short-term headwinds.
- Q1 earnings reports due in early May could catalyze shifts based on production and refining results.
Introduction
Equinor ASA (EQNR), Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), and ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM) represent major players in the integrated oil and gas sector, blending upstream exploration, midstream logistics, and downstream refining. This comparison is timely amid fluctuating oil prices and geopolitical tensions influencing energy markets. Traders seeking momentum opportunities and long-term investors eyeing dividend reliability or diversification will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and exposure to crude dynamics. With distinct geographic footprints—Norway for EQNR, Canada for SU, and global operations for XOM—these stocks offer insights into regional versus worldwide energy trends.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA (EQNR), a Norway-based integrated energy firm, focuses on North Sea oil and gas production alongside growing renewables. In recent market activity, its shares have surged toward a 52-week high of $43.46, reflecting robust YTD gains of over 70% and a current price near $39.71. Sentiment has been buoyed by higher oil prices, capital discipline with reduced spending, and positive Q4 results showing $2.04 billion in earnings. Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 6 are anticipated to highlight cost reductions and production stability, supporting its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.47 and 3.7% dividend yield. Volatility tied to European energy policies and Brent crude has driven momentum, positioning EQNR as a high-beta play in recent weeks.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), a Canadian integrated producer emphasizing oil sands, benefits from integrated operations across mining, upgrading, and refining. Shares trade near $67.55, close to the 52-week high of $68.62, with YTD performance around 53% fueled by record output and strong refining margins in recent quarters. Recent activity shows gains of nearly 50% over the past six months, driven by elevated cash flows despite rising costs and softer oil benchmarks. With a P/E ratio of 19.03 and market cap of $80 billion, investor sentiment reflects optimism on upstream efficiency. Q1 earnings on May 5 will test resilience amid Western Canadian Select pricing pressures, influencing short-term price behavior.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM), a U.S.-based supermajor, operates globally with emphasis on Permian Basin output and refining. Trading at about $152.75, it nears the lower end of its 52-week range (101.19-176.41), posting 28% YTD gains amid recent monthly declines. Q1 results revealed $85.14 billion in revenue and $4.89 billion earnings, beating estimates via higher upstream volumes despite profit dips on volatile oil. A P/E of 25.72 and massive $635 billion market cap underscore stability, with a 2.7% yield attracting conservatives. Sentiment shifts stem from global disruptions and potential Venezuela re-entry, tempering momentum in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, EQNR balances hydrocarbons with renewables, SU specializes in oil sands for cost-efficient barrels, and XOM leverages global scale via mergers like Pioneer. Growth drivers favor EQNR and SU’s superior recent momentum over XOM’s steadier path. Risk factors include commodity exposure for all, but EQNR faces European regulations, SU regulatory hurdles in Canada, and XOM geopolitical variances. Valuation sensitivity shows comparable P/E ratios (19-26), with EQNR’s higher yield (3.7%) versus peers at 2.6-2.7%; EQNR’s 77% debt-to-equity edges higher leverage. Market sentiment tilts toward North American and Norwegian names on oil rallies, contrasting XOM’s recent softening.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would currently favor EQNR for its consistent upward trend, superior YTD positioning, and catalysts like upcoming earnings amid favorable oil dynamics. While SU shows strong relative stability and XOM offers downside protection via size, EQNR’s momentum suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in probabilistic terms.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EQNR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and XOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- EQNR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EQNR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and XOM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EQNR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
EQNR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -4.17% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -2.58% , and XOM (@Integrated Oil) price fluctuated -0.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +4.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+4.15% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EQNR | SU | XOM | |
| Capitalization | 78.1B | 63.4B | 566B |
| EBITDA | 39.6B | 16.2B | 64.4B |
| Gain YTD | 34.430 | 21.506 | 14.993 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.87 | 15.14 | 23.31 |
| Revenue | 104B | 54.5B | 326B |
| Total Cash | 20.1B | 3.27B | 8.44B |
| Total Debt | 31.9B | 14.8B | 47.7B |
EQNR | SU | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 57 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 30 Undervalued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 25 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 61 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 25 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 47 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EQNR's Valuation (25) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (30) and is in the same range as XOM (46). This means that EQNR's stock grew similarly to SU’s and similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (25) and is in the same range as EQNR (37). This means that XOM's stock grew similarly to SU’s and similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (61) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (64) and is in the same range as XOM (72). This means that SU's stock grew similarly to EQNR’s and similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (58) and is in the same range as EQNR (58). This means that XOM's stock grew similarly to SU’s and similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (17) and is in the same range as SU (25). This means that EQNR's stock grew similarly to XOM’s and similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
| EQNR | SU | XOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 25 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% | 10 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 40% |
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SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.