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FOR Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Pennant FOR on October 03, 2024, netting in a 9.20% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+9.20% Gain from a Successful pattern Pennant
FOR - Forestar Group
Tickeron
Ticker: FOR
Company: Forestar Group
Gain from shortening: +9.2%
Confirmed: 10/03/24
Succeeded: 11/19/24
Total length: 47 days
On October 03, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Pennant Pattern (Bearish) for Forestar Group (FOR, $32.08). On October 03, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On November 19, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $29.17 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

Momentum Indicator for FOR turns negative, indicating new downward trend

FOR saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 08, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 89 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FOR turned negative on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FOR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 08, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FOR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FOR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOR advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FOR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.411) is normal, around the industry mean (3.531). P/E Ratio (10.845) is within average values for comparable stocks, (60.101). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.670). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.311) is also within normal values, averaging (12.008).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FOR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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FOR
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a real estate and natural resources company

Industry RealEstateDevelopment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Development
Address
2221 E. Lamar Boulevard
Phone
+1 817 769-1860
Employees
303
Web
https://www.forestar.com