TD Toronto Dominion Bank Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TD in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026

TD moved above its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 21 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TD as a result. In 40 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TD just turned positive on September 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where TD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The 10-day moving average for TD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.

Following a +1.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TD advanced for three days, in 184 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

TD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 20, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TD's P/B Ratio (2.492) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.887). TD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (18.587) as compared to the industry average of (15.074). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.006) is also within normal values, averaging (2.075). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.318) is also within normal values, averaging (3.867).