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TOL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Apr 2 closing price
Price
$106.91
Change
+$1.61 (+1.53%)
Capitalization
13.34B

TOL Toll Brothers Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'... Show more

Industry: #Homebuilding
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TOL with price predictions
Apr 01, 2025

TOL in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on March 13, 2025

TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 29 cases where TOL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TOL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 14 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 01, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TOL as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOL just turned positive on March 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where TOL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where TOL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TOL entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.900) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (9.918) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.006) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). TOL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.046). P/S Ratio (1.380) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TOL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TOL is expected to report earnings to rise 64.57% to $2.88 per share on May 27

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'25
Est.
$2.88
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.29
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.29
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.29
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.41
The last earnings report on February 18 showed earnings per share of $1.75, missing the estimate of $2.04. With 1.25M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 13.34B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TOL paid dividends on January 24, 2025

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.23 per share was paid with a record date of January 24, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of January 10, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
4800
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com
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TOL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+1.53%
PHM - TOL
90%
Closely correlated
+1.25%
TMHC - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
+1.19%
CCS - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
+1.18%
LEN - TOL
85%
Closely correlated
+1.00%
KBH - TOL
85%
Closely correlated
+0.96%
More

Groups containing TOL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+1.53%
TOL
(18 stocks)
86%
Closely correlated
+1.33%