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TOL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Dec 18, 03:25 PM (EDT)
Price
$129.65
Change
-$3.08 (-2.32%)
Capitalization
13.34B

TOL Toll Brothers Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TOL with price predictions
Dec 17, 2024

TOL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

TOL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 05, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TOL moved below its 50-day moving average on December 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TOL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 361 cases where TOL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.900) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (9.918) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.006) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). TOL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (1.380) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TOL is expected to report earnings to fall 55.51% to $2.06 per share on February 25

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'25
Est.
$2.06
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.29
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.29
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.41
Q1'24
Beat
by $0.47
The last earnings report on December 09 showed earnings per share of $4.63, beating the estimate of $4.34. With 553.85K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 13.34B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TOL paid dividends on October 25, 2024

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.23 per share was paid with a record date of October 25, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of October 11, 2024. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
4800
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com
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TOL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
-1.37%
PHM - TOL
91%
Closely correlated
-0.80%
LEN - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
-0.30%
KBH - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
-1.18%
TMHC - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
-1.21%
CCS - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
-1.23%
More

Groups containing TOL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
-1.37%
TOL
(19 stocks)
87%
Closely correlated
-1.50%