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TWO Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Cup-and-Handle Inverse TWO on October 09, 2024, netting in a 11.63% gain over 2 months

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+11.63% Gain from a Successful pattern Cup-and-Handle Inverse
TWO - Two Harbors Investment Corp
Tickeron
Ticker: TWO
Company: Two Harbors Investment
Gain from shortening: +11.63%
Confirmed: 10/09/24
Succeeded: 10/31/24
Total length: 83 days
On August 09, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Cup-and-Handle Inverse Pattern (Bearish) for Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO, $13.01). 61 days later, on October 09, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 31, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $11.38 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

Momentum Indicator for TWO turns negative, indicating new downward trend

TWO saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 20, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TWO entered a downward trend on November 15, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TWO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TWO just turned positive on November 15, 2024. Looking at past instances where TWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWO advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.859) is normal, around the industry mean (1.979). TWO's P/E Ratio (666.667) is considerably higher than the industry average of (62.368). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.764) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). TWO has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.148) as compared to the industry average of (0.068). TWO's P/S Ratio (39.841) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.130).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TWO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

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TWO
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General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
1601 Utica Avenue South
Phone
+1 612 453-4100
Employees
466
Web
https://www.twoharborsinvestment.com