YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for YPF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where YPF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator for YPF entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where YPF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on YPF as a result. In 79 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for YPF just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where YPF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

YPF moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +4.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where YPF advanced for three days, in 291 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 25, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. YPF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.631) is normal, around the industry mean (1.719). YPF has a moderately high P/E Ratio (27.566) as compared to the industry average of (11.474). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.160) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.040) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.