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published in Blogs
Sep 16, 2020

Adobe (ADBE, $484.72) beats Q3 earnings expectations

Adobe Systems Inc. reported third quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations.

The software company's adjusted earnings came in at $2.57 per share, compared to the $2.41 per share expected by analysts polled by Thomson Reuters.

Adobe’s quarterly revenue climbed +14.1% year-over-year to $3.23 billion.

For the quarter ahead, the company is expecting earnings of $2.64 per share on revenue of $3.35 billion.

Tickeron's AI-powered scorecard rates ADBE a 'Buy'.

According to Tickeron. 

Aroon Indicator for ADBE shows an upward move is likely

ADBE's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 14, 2020. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 448 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 319 of the 448 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 71%.

Current price $484.99 is above $449.57 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 08/13/20 - 09/15/20, the price experienced a +11% Uptrend. During the week of 09/08/20 - 09/15/20, the stock enjoyed a +8% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 22 of 39 cases where ADBE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Following a +5.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in 254 of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADBE moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 65 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 30 of the 65 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 46%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2020. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADBE as a result. In 38 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADBE turned negative on September 08, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.

ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 26, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 62%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.12 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (21.95) is normal, around the industry mean (12.87). P/E Ratio (65.63) is within average values for comparable stocks, (296.17). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.24) is also within normal values, averaging (7.02). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.31) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.61) is also within normal values, averaging (16.14).

Related Ticker: ADBE

ADBE's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for ADBE moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADBE as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADBE just turned positive on April 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where ADBE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ADBE entered a downward trend on April 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.556) is normal, around the industry mean (30.917). P/E Ratio (47.957) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.863) is also within normal values, averaging (2.714). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.534) is also within normal values, averaging (59.831).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 29%. NXTT experienced the highest price growth at 707%, while MDTC experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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