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Jun 18, 2021
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Adobe (ADBE, $562.33) beats Q2 earnings expectations

Adobe (ADBE, $562.33) beats Q2 earnings expectations

On Thursday, Adobe Inc. reported second quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations. Revenue also beat estimates, on the back of cloud software business strength.

The software company’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.03 a share in the quarter, vs. $2.81 a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

 Revenue rose to $3.84 billion from $3.13 billion in the year-ago quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast revenue of $3.73 billion.

Revenue from its Digital Media, Creative and DocumentCloud products climbed +25%, +24% and +30% respectively on an year-over-year basis for the quarter.

According to Adobe, it had  a record $1.99 billion in cash flows from operations.

For the third quarter, Adobe expects adjusted earnings of $3 a share, vs. analysts’ forecast of $2.89 a share. The company projects revenue of $3.88 billion for the quarter, while analysts were expecting $3.83 billion.

Related Ticker: ADBE

ADBE's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 5 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in 191 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 97 of 204 cases where ADBE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADBE moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADBE as a result. In 67 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADBE turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.

ADBE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ADBE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.327) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.526). P/E Ratio (13.745) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.160). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.558) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.923) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 281.08B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 281.08B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. IFBD experienced the highest price growth at 119%, while MNTN experienced the biggest fall at -52%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 88%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 117% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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a developer of software solutions for web and print publishing

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
345 Park Avenue
Phone
+1 408 536-6000
Employees
31360
Web
https://www.adobe.com
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Adobe (ADBE, $562.33) beats Q2 earnings expectations