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Jun 18, 2021
Adobe (ADBE, $562.33) beats Q2 earnings expectations

Adobe (ADBE, $562.33) beats Q2 earnings expectations

On Thursday, Adobe Inc. reported second quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations. Revenue also beat estimates, on the back of cloud software business strength.

The software company’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.03 a share in the quarter, vs. $2.81 a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

 Revenue rose to $3.84 billion from $3.13 billion in the year-ago quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast revenue of $3.73 billion.

Revenue from its Digital Media, Creative and DocumentCloud products climbed +25%, +24% and +30% respectively on an year-over-year basis for the quarter.

According to Adobe, it had  a record $1.99 billion in cash flows from operations.

For the third quarter, Adobe expects adjusted earnings of $3 a share, vs. analysts’ forecast of $2.89 a share. The company projects revenue of $3.88 billion for the quarter, while analysts were expecting $3.83 billion.

Related Ticker: ADBE

ADBE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026

ADBE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADBE moved out of overbought territory on September 01, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADBE as a result. In 56 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADBE turned negative on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

The 10-day moving average for ADBE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +6.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in 197 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

ADBE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 114 of 209 cases where ADBE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.410) is normal, around the industry mean (51.950). P/E Ratio (13.898) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.426). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.601) is also within normal values, averaging (3.152). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.923) is also within normal values, averaging (70.180).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 242.54B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 242.54B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. FTFT experienced the highest price growth at 91%, while FRGT experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 130%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 93% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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