AFRM vs PTON: Swing Trade Strategies Yielding 25.03% & 27.28%
Comparative Analysis: AFRM vs PTON - A Deep Dive into Swing Trading Strategies and Industry Performance
In this article, we undertake a comparative analysis of two different trading strategies applied to AFRM and PTON, followed by a performance evaluation of their respective industries: @Packaged Software and @Recreational Products.
To start, let's look at the strategies applied by Swing Traders for each ticker. In the case of AFRM, the Deep Trend Analysis (TA) approach generated a 25.03% gain. On the other hand, the Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA) produced a slightly higher return of 27.28% for PTON. While both strategies produced substantial gains, the latter approach yielded a marginally better outcome.
Moving to the price growth of AFRM and PTON, we observed some interesting differences. AFRM experienced a weekly price change of +5.19%, significantly higher than the average weekly price growth of +2.50% across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry. The monthly and quarterly growth rates of this industry stood at +7.23% and +21.55% respectively, suggesting a consistent upward trend.
In contrast, PTON recorded a whopping weekly price change of +19.63%, far surpassing the @Recreational Products industry's average weekly growth rate of +1.02%. The industry's monthly and quarterly growth rates were +7.76% and +11.50%, respectively, indicating a more fluctuating pattern.
In terms of earnings, AFRM is expected to report its results on Sep 07, 2023, while PTON is slated to announce its earnings earlier on Aug 24, 2023. The timing and outcomes of these earnings reports may have a substantial impact on the future price movements of these stocks.
Concluding with a brief description of the industries, the @Packaged Software industry, where AFRM operates, recorded a decent weekly growth of +2.50%. In comparison, the @Recreational Products industry, where PTON operates, observed a slower weekly growth rate of +1.02%. It's pertinent to understand that industry trends can play a critical role in shaping a company's stock performance.
AFRM and PTON have demonstrated impressive gains through their respective swing trading strategies. However, the stronger price growth of PTON, as well as its industry's high volatility, could make it a more lucrative choice for swing traders.
AFRM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
AFRM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 11, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AFRM moved out of overbought territory on September 02, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AFRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AFRM as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 235 cases where AFRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.818) is normal, around the industry mean (17.034). P/E Ratio (553.867) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.711). AFRM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (55.535) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.716). AFRM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (8.787) is also within normal values, averaging (123.989).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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