AFRM vs PTON: Swing Trade Strategies Yielding 25.03% & 27.28%
Comparative Analysis: AFRM vs PTON - A Deep Dive into Swing Trading Strategies and Industry Performance
In this article, we undertake a comparative analysis of two different trading strategies applied to AFRM and PTON, followed by a performance evaluation of their respective industries: @Packaged Software and @Recreational Products.
To start, let's look at the strategies applied by Swing Traders for each ticker. In the case of AFRM, the Deep Trend Analysis (TA) approach generated a 25.03% gain. On the other hand, the Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA) produced a slightly higher return of 27.28% for PTON. While both strategies produced substantial gains, the latter approach yielded a marginally better outcome.
Moving to the price growth of AFRM and PTON, we observed some interesting differences. AFRM experienced a weekly price change of +5.19%, significantly higher than the average weekly price growth of +2.50% across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry. The monthly and quarterly growth rates of this industry stood at +7.23% and +21.55% respectively, suggesting a consistent upward trend.
In contrast, PTON recorded a whopping weekly price change of +19.63%, far surpassing the @Recreational Products industry's average weekly growth rate of +1.02%. The industry's monthly and quarterly growth rates were +7.76% and +11.50%, respectively, indicating a more fluctuating pattern.
In terms of earnings, AFRM is expected to report its results on Sep 07, 2023, while PTON is slated to announce its earnings earlier on Aug 24, 2023. The timing and outcomes of these earnings reports may have a substantial impact on the future price movements of these stocks.
Concluding with a brief description of the industries, the @Packaged Software industry, where AFRM operates, recorded a decent weekly growth of +2.50%. In comparison, the @Recreational Products industry, where PTON operates, observed a slower weekly growth rate of +1.02%. It's pertinent to understand that industry trends can play a critical role in shaping a company's stock performance.
AFRM and PTON have demonstrated impressive gains through their respective swing trading strategies. However, the stronger price growth of PTON, as well as its industry's high volatility, could make it a more lucrative choice for swing traders.
AFRM's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AFRM turned positive on April 10, 2025. Looking at past instances where AFRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 35 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for AFRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 255 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 198 cases where AFRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AFRM moved out of overbought territory on May 09, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 53 cases where AFRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 09, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AFRM as a result. In of 70 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AFRM moved below its 50-day moving average on May 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for AFRM moved below the 200-day moving average on May 01, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AFRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.055) is normal, around the industry mean (30.917). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.714). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.495) is also within normal values, averaging (59.831).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
Industry PackagedSoftware