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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 09, 2023

AI Swing Trader yields 12.14% profit; CF's trend reverses with 81% odds.

The financial market is highly volatile, and making sound investment decisions requires accurate and timely information. For decades, traders have used technical and fundamental analysis to evaluate market trends and identify investment opportunities. However, the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized the financial sector by introducing sophisticated algorithms that can analyze vast amounts of data and provide actionable insights.

One such example is the AI bot Swing Trader, which uses both technical and fundamental analysis to generate investment signals. In this article, we will explore how Swing Trader generated a return of 12.14% for CF, and how it identified an opportunity to buy the stock or explore call options.

Swing Trader's Technical Analysis:

Swing Trader uses technical analysis to evaluate the price trends and momentum of a particular stock. Technical analysis involves studying past market data, primarily price and volume, to identify patterns and make investment decisions. One of the most popular technical indicators used by Swing Trader is the stochastic oscillator.

The stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator that compares a stock's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It measures the stock's momentum by indicating whether it is overbought or oversold. When the stochastic oscillator exits the oversold zone, it indicates that the stock may be undervalued, and a price reversal could occur.

Swing Trader identified that CF's stochastic oscillator had exited the oversold zone, indicating that the stock's price trend could be reversing. This signal prompted Swing Trader to generate a buy signal for CF.

Swing Trader's Fundamental Analysis:

Swing Trader also uses fundamental analysis to evaluate a company's financial health and overall performance. Fundamental analysis involves studying a company's financial statements, earnings reports, and other factors that can affect its stock price.

Swing Trader identified that CF's financial statements showed promising results. The company had a strong balance sheet, with a low debt-to-equity ratio and high earnings per share (EPS). Additionally, the company's management had a good track record of delivering strong financial performance.

Based on the combination of technical and fundamental analysis, Swing Trader generated a buy signal for CF. This signal indicated that CF's stock price was likely to increase, and investors should consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Related Ticker: CF

CF in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on April 04, 2025

CF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where CF's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CF as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CF just turned positive on April 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where CF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CF moved above its 50-day moving average on April 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CF advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 270 cases where CF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CF moved out of overbought territory on May 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for CF moved below the 200-day moving average on April 03, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.736) is normal, around the industry mean (3.524). P/E Ratio (10.588) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.688). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.668) is also within normal values, averaging (1.575). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.435) is also within normal values, averaging (681.478).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CF Industries Holding (NYSE:CF), Mosaic Company (The) (NYSE:MOS).

Industry description

The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry is 4.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 14.68K to 40.31B. CTVA holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.31B. The lowest valued company is CGSI at 14.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 13%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. NITO experienced the highest price growth at 54%, while SBMSF experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 91%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of nitrogen fertilizer products

Industry ChemicalsAgricultural

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Chemicals Agricultural
Address
2375 Waterview Drive
Phone
+1 847 405-2400
Employees
2700
Web
https://www.cfindustries.com
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