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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 09, 2023

AI Swing Trader yields 12.14% profit; CF's trend reverses with 81% odds.

The financial market is highly volatile, and making sound investment decisions requires accurate and timely information. For decades, traders have used technical and fundamental analysis to evaluate market trends and identify investment opportunities. However, the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized the financial sector by introducing sophisticated algorithms that can analyze vast amounts of data and provide actionable insights.

One such example is the AI bot Swing Trader, which uses both technical and fundamental analysis to generate investment signals. In this article, we will explore how Swing Trader generated a return of 12.14% for CF, and how it identified an opportunity to buy the stock or explore call options.

Swing Trader's Technical Analysis:

Swing Trader uses technical analysis to evaluate the price trends and momentum of a particular stock. Technical analysis involves studying past market data, primarily price and volume, to identify patterns and make investment decisions. One of the most popular technical indicators used by Swing Trader is the stochastic oscillator.

The stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator that compares a stock's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It measures the stock's momentum by indicating whether it is overbought or oversold. When the stochastic oscillator exits the oversold zone, it indicates that the stock may be undervalued, and a price reversal could occur.

Swing Trader identified that CF's stochastic oscillator had exited the oversold zone, indicating that the stock's price trend could be reversing. This signal prompted Swing Trader to generate a buy signal for CF.

Swing Trader's Fundamental Analysis:

Swing Trader also uses fundamental analysis to evaluate a company's financial health and overall performance. Fundamental analysis involves studying a company's financial statements, earnings reports, and other factors that can affect its stock price.

Swing Trader identified that CF's financial statements showed promising results. The company had a strong balance sheet, with a low debt-to-equity ratio and high earnings per share (EPS). Additionally, the company's management had a good track record of delivering strong financial performance.

Based on the combination of technical and fundamental analysis, Swing Trader generated a buy signal for CF. This signal indicated that CF's stock price was likely to increase, and investors should consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Related Ticker: CF

CF in -3.14% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 15, 2025

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CF declined for three days, in of 276 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CF moved out of overbought territory on September 29, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CF as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CF turned negative on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

CF moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for CF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CF advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 292 cases where CF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.726) is normal, around the industry mean (2.983). P/E Ratio (10.945) is within average values for comparable stocks, (129.914). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.541) is also within normal values, averaging (0.725). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.214) is also within normal values, averaging (56.530).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CF Industries Holding (NYSE:CF), Mosaic Company (The) (NYSE:MOS).

Industry description

The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry is 4.01B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 14.68K to 41.7B. CTVA holds the highest valuation in this group at 41.7B. The lowest valued company is CGSI at 14.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. SEED experienced the highest price growth at 45%, while ENFY experienced the biggest fall at -85%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 33% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. CF showed earnings on August 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of nitrogen fertilizer products

Industry ChemicalsAgricultural

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Chemicals Agricultural
Address
2375 Waterview Drive
Phone
+1 847 405-2400
Employees
2700
Web
https://www.cfindustries.com
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