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Jul 19, 2019
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American Express (AXP, $125.48) beats Q2 earnings expectations; maintains full-year outlook

American Express (AXP, $125.48) beats Q2 earnings expectations; maintains full-year outlook

American Express Co.’s second quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ estimates, while the company reiterated its full-year profit guidance.

For the three months ending in June, the financial services company reported earnings of $2.07 per share, 3 cents ahead of the Street consensus forecast.  The earnings per share was also +12.5% higher from the same period last year.

The company's total revenue increased +8% to $10.8 billion, in line with analysts' estimates. The group's quarterly U.S. billed business grew +7% from the prior year to $209.2 billion, and its global bill increased +1.4% to $102.5 billion.

CEO Steve Squeri indicated that there is a strong loyalty among consumers towards the company. Among the 2.9 million new proprietary cards that the company added this quarter, almost 70%  carry an annual fee – something that Squeri thinks is a strong sign that Card Members are willing to pay for premium value.

Looking ahead, American Express said that it will maintain its earlier adjusted earnings per share guidance range of $7.85 to $8.35 per share.

Related Ticker: AXP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AXP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026

AXP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AXP as a result. In 45 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AXP just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AXP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The 10-day moving average for AXP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +3.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AXP advanced for three days, in 204 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 282 cases where AXP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AXP moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 64 cases where AXP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AXP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

AXP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AXP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.323) is normal, around the industry mean (3.902). P/E Ratio (19.442) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.401). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.232) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.189) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.824) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), LexinFintech Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ:LX).

Industry description

A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Savings Banks Industry is 36.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 831.64K to 793.46B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 793.46B. The lowest valued company is DXF at 831.64K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. SEZL experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while PRAA experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 46
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a financial conglomerate

Industry SavingsBanks

Industry
Financial Conglomerates
Address
200 Vesey Street
Phone
+1 212 640-2000
Employees
75100
Web
https://www.americanexpress.com
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