Go to the list of all blogs
Harry Richardson's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 16, 2018
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
American Express (AXP) Riding Trend Channel Higher

American Express (AXP) Riding Trend Channel Higher

Over the last eight months, American Express (NYSE: AXP) has been trending higher with a trend channel defining the peaks and valleys. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and it looks like it is ready for another move to the upside in the coming weeks.

We see that in addition to the stock hitting the lower rail it was also oversold based on the 10-day RSI and the daily stochastic readings. The last time we saw both oscillators in oversold territory and the stock hit the lower rail of the channel was in late June.

The stock was trading around $96 at the time and it went on to rally to a high of $103.87 on July 27. That is a move of approximately 8% in just over a month.

In addition to the technical picture, American Express has great fundamentals. The company has a return on equity of 27.6%, a profit margin of 20.9%, and an operating margin of 24.7%. The company has also been able to grow its earnings at an average rate of 22% per year over the last three years.

American Express is set to release third quarter earnings results on Thursday, October 18 and analysts expect the company to earn $1.76 per share on revenue of $10.04 billion.

Related Ticker: AXP

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


AXP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026

AXP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 27 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AXP as a result. In 41 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AXP just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AXP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The 10-day moving average for AXP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +3.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AXP advanced for three days, in 204 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 282 cases where AXP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AXP moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 55%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AXP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

AXP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AXP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.461) is normal, around the industry mean (3.811). P/E Ratio (19.866) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.984). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.232) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.181) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.824) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), LexinFintech Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ:LX).

Industry description

A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Savings Banks Industry is 36.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 830.02K to 798.83B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 798.83B. The lowest valued company is DXF at 830.02K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. JFIN experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while YRD experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was 32%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 46
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
AXP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a financial conglomerate

Industry SavingsBanks

Industry
Financial Conglomerates
Address
200 Vesey Street
Phone
+1 212 640-2000
Employees
75100
Web
https://www.americanexpress.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
Analysts expect Q1 2026 revenue of approximately $8.5 billion, a roughly 5% increase from $8.1 billion in Q1 2025. Consensus adjusted earnings per share (EPS) forecast stands at $4.74, reflecting a potential decline from prior-year levels amid pricing pressures.
Analysts expect Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of around $1.61, down from prior year levels due to softer commodity prices. Consensus revenue forecast stands at approximately $14.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline.