Applied Materials (AMAT) is a company that produces equipment, services, and software for the semiconductor industry. The company recently reported its earnings on February 16, 2023, and while the results were positive, the stock's recent movement is showing a potential sign of a reversal.
The upper Bollinger Band, a technical analysis tool used to gauge a stock's volatility and possible price moves, was broken above by AMAT on February 1st, 2023. A stock is deemed overbought and may be headed for a pullback if it breaches its upper band. AMAT's stock has since moved back below the upper band and toward the middle band, confirming that this is exactly what happened.
For traders and investors, this could be a signal to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor, an AI-powered trading platform, analyzed 44 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band and found that in 33 of those cases, the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 75%, suggesting that AMAT may be due for a pullback in the near future.
While the recent movement of AMAT may be cause for concern for some investors, it's important to note that the company's earnings report was positive. Applied Materials reported revenue of $6.1 billion, an increase of 12% year-over-year, and earnings per share of $1.82, an increase of 22% year-over-year.
AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where AMAT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 260 cases where AMAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMAT moved out of overbought territory on September 27, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 70 cases where AMAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on October 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for AMAT moved below the 200-day moving average on September 24, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.950) is normal, around the industry mean (7.455). P/E Ratio (24.546) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.452). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.493) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.631) is also within normal values, averaging (43.049).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of equipment and software for the semiconductor industries
Industry Semiconductors