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Jun 04, 2023

ASML(+8.12%) vs NVDA(+26.79%): Detailed Swing Trading Comparison | High-Tech Vs Volatility Strategies

The landscape of semiconductor companies has seen two notable players rise to the forefront, ASML and NVDA. Both of these tech giants are key contributors to the hi-tech and consumer sectors, in the context of swing trading. However, their different trading strategies and returns bring them into a stark comparative light.

ASML, adopting the Swing Trader strategy, is diversified across hi-tech and consumer sectors. It has yielded an 8.12% return, thus providing a robust illustration of the strength of this strategy in the current market landscape. On the other hand, NVDA employs a Volatility Balanced Strategy, underpinned by technical analysis (TA), and has seen a significantly higher return of 26.79%. This showcases the power of a more volatile, responsive approach to market fluctuations.

The correlation between these two companies is surprisingly high at 84%, indicating that they often move in tandem within the market. This strong correlation, despite differing trading strategies, underscores the inherent interconnectivity of the semiconductor industry.

Interestingly, their price growth has not been in lockstep this week. ASML experienced a decline of 1.53% while NVDA saw an increase of 0.98%. This contrast is noteworthy, especially when considering the average weekly price growth for the semiconductor industry is 0.71%. Yet, the monthly and quarterly industry averages of 15.95% and 16.55%, respectively, are reminders of the industry’s potential for longer-term growth.

The reported earnings dates for these two companies also offer critical insights for investors. ASML is slated to report earnings on July 19, 2023, while NVDA's earnings report will be announced on August 17, 2023. These dates are pivotal moments that can affect the stocks' direction and investor sentiment.

The semiconductor industry, experiencing a weekly growth rate of 0.71%, continues to surge forward as a powerhouse of the global economy. This, in part, is fueled by giants like ASML and NVDA, whose performances, strategies, and correlations play a crucial role in shaping the industry. Ultimately, while they adopt different trading strategies, both companies contribute significantly to the industry's dynamic evolution and growth. The comparative study between ASML and NVDA thus offers valuable insights into the complexities and opportunities present within the semiconductor market.

Related Ticker: ASML

ASML's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for ASML moved out of oversold territory on October 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASML advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ASML may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASML as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASML turned negative on October 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ASML moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASML declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ASML’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ASML's P/B Ratio (26.954) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.487). P/E Ratio (46.175) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.955) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.141) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (null:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (null:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (null:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (null:AMD), Texas Instruments (null:TXN), QUALCOMM (null:QCOM), Applied Materials (null:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (null:LRCX), Micron Technology (null:MU), Analog Devices (null:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 49.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.98T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.98T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. PRKR experienced the highest price growth at 87%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 38 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a manufacturer of technology systems for the semiconductor industry

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electronic Production Equipment
Address
De Run 6501
Phone
+31 402683000
Employees
42416
Web
https://www.asml.com
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