ASML(+8.12%) vs NVDA(+26.79%): Detailed Swing Trading Comparison | High-Tech Vs Volatility Strategies
The landscape of semiconductor companies has seen two notable players rise to the forefront, ASML and NVDA. Both of these tech giants are key contributors to the hi-tech and consumer sectors, in the context of swing trading. However, their different trading strategies and returns bring them into a stark comparative light.
ASML, adopting the Swing Trader strategy, is diversified across hi-tech and consumer sectors. It has yielded an 8.12% return, thus providing a robust illustration of the strength of this strategy in the current market landscape. On the other hand, NVDA employs a Volatility Balanced Strategy, underpinned by technical analysis (TA), and has seen a significantly higher return of 26.79%. This showcases the power of a more volatile, responsive approach to market fluctuations.
The correlation between these two companies is surprisingly high at 84%, indicating that they often move in tandem within the market. This strong correlation, despite differing trading strategies, underscores the inherent interconnectivity of the semiconductor industry.
Interestingly, their price growth has not been in lockstep this week. ASML experienced a decline of 1.53% while NVDA saw an increase of 0.98%. This contrast is noteworthy, especially when considering the average weekly price growth for the semiconductor industry is 0.71%. Yet, the monthly and quarterly industry averages of 15.95% and 16.55%, respectively, are reminders of the industry’s potential for longer-term growth.
The reported earnings dates for these two companies also offer critical insights for investors. ASML is slated to report earnings on July 19, 2023, while NVDA's earnings report will be announced on August 17, 2023. These dates are pivotal moments that can affect the stocks' direction and investor sentiment.
The semiconductor industry, experiencing a weekly growth rate of 0.71%, continues to surge forward as a powerhouse of the global economy. This, in part, is fueled by giants like ASML and NVDA, whose performances, strategies, and correlations play a crucial role in shaping the industry. Ultimately, while they adopt different trading strategies, both companies contribute significantly to the industry's dynamic evolution and growth. The comparative study between ASML and NVDA thus offers valuable insights into the complexities and opportunities present within the semiconductor market.
ASML sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ASML moved above the 200-day moving average on June 25, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 05, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASML as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ASML just turned positive on June 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where ASML's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASML advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 273 cases where ASML Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ASML moved out of overbought territory on June 26, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASML declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ASML broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASML’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (26.954) is normal, around the industry mean (9.257). P/E Ratio (46.175) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.080). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.955) is also within normal values, averaging (2.334). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.141) is also within normal values, averaging (33.448).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of technology systems for the semiconductor industry
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