Atlassian’s (TEAM, $92.26) Outstanding Q2 Results Continue to Impress Analysts
Atlassian Corporation PLC, a team collaboration and productivity software provider, published its Q2 results last week and surpassed all expectations. The company is making good use of the recent trend of the cloud adoption responsible for maintaining quality, reliability and security of cloud offerings with developers. Analysts also believe that the $20 million IT operations and service management sector, currently dominated by ServiceNow Inc. (NOW), will soon be overcome by Atlassian.
TEAM’s Q2 earnings report witnessed an accelerated billing with an 49% billing growth, ahead of estimates by 10%. Billings benefited from early renewals of maintenance contracts ahead of the annual price increase, as well as a shift to multi-year contracts.
Despite the impressive performance, analysts note that shares are fairly valued due to the possible increased sales investment, and increased competition with ServiceNow as focus shifts to IT with unclear signs for collaborations beyond IT.
Other important achievements include Atlassian's 100,000 cloud customers, accounting for 75% of its total customers, its efforts to expand Opsgenie, and an impressive ~111% growth in the share price in 2018.
With an above-consensus FY2019 guidance, analysts have raised the price target from $108 to $118 for 2019.
TEAM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TEAM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 09, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TEAM moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEAM as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for TEAM moved above the 200-day moving average on November 13, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TEAM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 255 cases where TEAM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (55.556) is normal, around the industry mean (31.082). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.694). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.505) is also within normal values, averaging (2.755). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.804) is also within normal values, averaging (58.159).
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an enterprise software solutions provider
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