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May 24, 2019
Autodesk (ADSK, $163.02 ) slips against Q1 earnings estimates

Autodesk (ADSK, $163.02 ) slips against Q1 earnings estimates

Autodesk missed earnings and revenue estimates for its fiscal first-quarter.

The software maker reported earnings of 45 cents per share for the quarter, falling behind analysts’ expectations of 47 cents per share (based on Refinitiv data).

Revenue of $735.5 million came in lower than estimates of $740 million (based on Refinitiv poll). However, revenue was +31% higher from the year-ago quarter. Autodesk’s revenue from subscription surged +67% to $595.8 million, slightly below the $599.6 million expectation from analysts polled by FactSet.

Looking ahead, the company predicts adjusted earnings per share of 59 cents to 63 cents for the second quarter, compared to 62 cents expected by analysts (based on Refinitiv  poll). It projects revenue of $782 million to $792 million for the quarter, while analysts’ forecast $788.5 million.

For the full fiscal year, Autodesk expects adjusted earnings of $2.71 to $2.90 per share, on $3.25 billion to $3.30 billion in revenue. The Refinitiv consensus expected $2.83 in earnings per share on $3.29 billion in revenue.

 

Related Ticker: ADSK

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ADSK in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026

ADSK moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADSK as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADSK turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for ADSK's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ADSK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 196 cases where ADSK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.459) is normal, around the industry mean (28.665). P/E Ratio (28.225) is within average values for comparable stocks, (78.353). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.838) is also within normal values, averaging (1.664). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.959) is also within normal values, averaging (76.156).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 249.2B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 249.2B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. WCT experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while LGCL experienced the biggest fall at -99%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -41% and the average quarterly volume growth was 50%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of multimedia software products

Industry PackagedSoftware

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Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Market Street
Phone
+1 415 507-5000
Employees
14300
Web
https://www.autodesk.com
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