Autodesk (ADSK) Earnings Preview: What Analysts Expect from Q1 Fiscal 2027
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk is scheduled to report fiscal first-quarter 2027 results after market close on May 28, 2026.
- Consensus estimates call for revenue of approximately $1.89 billion to $1.93 billion, representing about 16% year-over-year growth.
- Analysts project earnings per share between $2.84 and $2.90, up roughly 24% from the year-ago quarter.
- Investors will focus on subscription revenue trends, which make up the majority of total revenue.
- Company guidance from the prior quarter included revenue of $1.9 billion and EPS in the range of $2.82 to $2.86.
- Broader themes include continued cloud adoption and AI-driven product enhancements in design software.
Earnings Context and Why It Matters
Autodesk, a leader in design and make software, reports results on a fiscal year ending January 31. The upcoming first-quarter fiscal 2027 report covers the period from February 1 through April 30, 2026. Recent quarters have shown steady revenue growth driven by subscription conversions and cloud offerings. Strong performance in prior periods has supported investor confidence, while industry demand for digital design tools remains elevated. This report will provide an early read on fiscal 2027 momentum and help investors assess whether the company is maintaining its growth trajectory amid evolving technology trends. From what I see, it’s worth keeping a close eye on how these trends develop.
Earnings Expectations
Wall Street analysts expect Autodesk to deliver revenue between $1.89 billion and $1.93 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2027, reflecting approximately 16% year-over-year growth. Earnings per share (EPS) estimates range from $2.84 to $2.90, a roughly 24% increase from the prior-year quarter. These figures align closely with the company’s own guidance issued after fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, which targeted $1.9 billion in revenue and EPS between $2.82 and $2.86. Key metrics to monitor include subscription revenue, which historically accounts for the vast majority of total revenue, as well as billings and operating margins. Historical patterns show the stock has often reacted to beats or misses in subscription growth and forward guidance. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how ADSK compares to others in the industry.
Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment
Sentiment heading into the report appears cautiously optimistic, supported by consistent revenue growth and expanding adoption of cloud and subscription models. Analysts have largely maintained estimates in recent weeks, reflecting stable expectations. Potential risk factors include any slowdown in subscription additions or softer guidance that could signal near-term headwinds. Market participants will closely watch after-hours price action and the subsequent conference call for insights into demand trends and margin outlook. In my view, any surprises in guidance could set the tone for the stock in the weeks ahead.
Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor
Following the earnings release, investors should pay close attention to any updates on full-year fiscal 2027 guidance. Management commentary on subscription renewal rates, new customer acquisition, and expansion within existing accounts will be important. Broader industry conditions, including spending by architecture, engineering, and construction sectors, could influence results.
Cost management and operating margin trends also warrant monitoring, as the company balances growth investments with profitability. AI-related product developments and their contribution to revenue remain an area of interest. Any shifts in foreign exchange rates or macroeconomic conditions affecting customer budgets may appear in the outlook.
Upcoming catalysts include subsequent quarterly reports and industry conferences where Autodesk typically provides additional color on its strategy and pipeline.
Using AI Tools for Deeper Analysis
In my research process, I often rely on Tickeron’s AI Screener to filter stocks and ETFs based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. It allows users to scan thousands of securities with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. This helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. I find it particularly useful when preparing for earnings reports like this one to quickly compare ADSK against peers and spot relevant patterns.
Disclaimer
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Financial writer and active order flow futures trader with a focus on fundamental analysis, macroeconomic factors, and equity research. I make in-depth blogs on stocks and ETFs, bridging the gap between raw market data and real-world trading decisions.
Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 59 of the 83 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADSK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +9.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 213 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
ADSK moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.804) is normal, around the industry mean (51.693). P/E Ratio (26.838) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (70.184).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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a developer of multimedia software products
Industry PackagedSoftware
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