Swing Trading for Beginners: Leveraging Momentum to Generate 8.14% Returns on NFLX
Swing trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the inherent volatility in stock prices. It aims to capture gains from stocks within a few days to several weeks, based on changes in their momentum. A key to successful swing trading is understanding the indicators that signal the shifts in momentum, and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) offers a compelling case study for beginners.
On July 03, 2023, the Momentum Indicator for NFLX crossed the threshold into positive territory, potentially signaling a change of pace in the stock's performance. This change of direction in momentum is a key signal for swing traders, as it can indicate the onset of an upward trend. In the context of NFLX, this could present an opportune moment for traders to consider purchasing the stock or acquiring call options, in anticipation of further gains.
The statistical strength of this strategy is also noteworthy. In a retrospective analysis of 86 similar instances where NFLX's Momentum Indicator shifted to positive, the stock price increased in 68 cases. This results in a success rate of 79%, pointing to a substantial likelihood of the stock following a similar trajectory in the aftermath of the latest momentum shift.
These statistics form the foundation for a potential 8.14% return on NFLX for swing traders. By leveraging the Momentum Indicator as an essential part of their trading strategy, they can potentially capitalize on the stock's volatility and short-term price movements, creating significant opportunities for profit.
This strategy reflects the broader concept of technical analysis in swing trading. By carefully studying the stock's past price movements and related technical indicators, such as the Momentum Indicator, traders can develop insights into potential future trends. NFLX serves as a useful example for beginners, illustrating how to leverage these tools to seize profitable trading opportunities.
The 10-day moving average for NFLX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 316 cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on September 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NFLX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NFLX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (20.243) is normal, around the industry mean (17.303). P/E Ratio (50.637) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.857). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.317) is also within normal values, averaging (5.160). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.453) is also within normal values, averaging (48.636).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of online movie rental subscription services
Industry MoviesEntertainment