Bullish signal on Intel ahead of earnings
Semiconductor behemoth Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) is scheduled to report earnings on April 25. Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $0.87 per share and that would match the earnings from the first quarter of 2018.
Intel has seen earnings grow by an average of 24% per year over the last three years and they grew by 19% in the fourth quarter. Sales have grown at an average annual rate of 8% for the last three years and grew by 9% in the fourth quarter. The expectation for the first quarter is for sales to be flat.
The management efficiency measurements for Intel are really good with a return on equity of 30% and a profit margin of 34.1%.
The stock itself has been doing extremely well since the beginning of the year, gaining over 20%. Since the Christmas low, the stock is up over 30%.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for Intel on April 15 and that signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.
The signal showed a confidence level of 76%, and 74% of previous signals have been successful.
Momentum Indicator for INTC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
INTC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on December 24, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 97 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 97 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INTC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 66 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on November 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on December 03, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on December 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.884) is normal, around the industry mean (11.467). P/E Ratio (97.750) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.657). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.551) is also within normal values, averaging (3.177). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.608) is also within normal values, averaging (54.092).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products
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