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Nov 12, 2019
Burlington Stores (BURL, $200.12) shares initiated with an "outperform" at RBC Capital

Burlington Stores (BURL, $200.12) shares initiated with an "outperform" at RBC Capital

Burlington Stores stock coverage was initiated by an RBC Capital analyst with an outperform rating.

RBC Capital analyst Kate Fitzsimmons expects the off-price department store retailer to continue to narrow its margin gap relative to peers, particularly under the leadership of a new CEO.

Michael O'Sullivan came in as chief executive of Burlington in September. He was previously with Ross Stores. O'Sullivan succeeded Thomas Kingsbury, who stepped down after 10 year as head of the Burlington, N.J., company. 

RBC’s outperform rating is based on the analyst’s expectation that Burlington can maintain a 2% to 3% comparative run rate as productivity improves, on the back of ongoing initiatives in merchandising (women's sportswear, home, footwear, and bath-and-body categories), selling and store experience (remodels, higher store wages), and marketing.

Over the next few years, RBC foresees Burlington margins to expand by 1 to 1 1/2 percentage points, to between 10% and 11%, on  moderate merchandise margin improvements bolstered by better buying, use of packaway, and lean in-store inventories (as indicated by RBC).

Fitzsimmons  wrote about Burlington shares being " expensive but rightly so, given BURL's productivity and margin runway." The analyst has set a price target at $230 for the shares. 

Related Ticker: BURL

BURL's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for BURL moved out of oversold territory on May 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BURL as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BURL just turned positive on May 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where BURL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BURL moved above its 50-day moving average on June 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BURL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BURL advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BURL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BURL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BURL entered a downward trend on May 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BURL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BURL's P/B Ratio (11.601) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.756). BURL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (34.820) as compared to the industry average of (18.281). BURL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.928). BURL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). BURL's P/S Ratio (1.822) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.800).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BURL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 10.92B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 186.04B. TJX holds the highest valuation in this group at 186.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 9%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 16%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. DLTH experienced the highest price growth at 41%, while LVLU experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a provider of men's, women's and children's apparel

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
2006 Route 130 North
Phone
+1 609 387-7800
Employees
71049
Web
https://www.burlingtoninvestors.com
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