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published in Blogs
Nov 12, 2019

Burlington Stores (BURL, $200.12) shares initiated with an "outperform" at RBC Capital

Burlington Stores stock coverage was initiated by an RBC Capital analyst with an outperform rating.

RBC Capital analyst Kate Fitzsimmons expects the off-price department store retailer to continue to narrow its margin gap relative to peers, particularly under the leadership of a new CEO.

Michael O'Sullivan came in as chief executive of Burlington in September. He was previously with Ross Stores. O'Sullivan succeeded Thomas Kingsbury, who stepped down after 10 year as head of the Burlington, N.J., company. 

RBC’s outperform rating is based on the analyst’s expectation that Burlington can maintain a 2% to 3% comparative run rate as productivity improves, on the back of ongoing initiatives in merchandising (women's sportswear, home, footwear, and bath-and-body categories), selling and store experience (remodels, higher store wages), and marketing.

Over the next few years, RBC foresees Burlington margins to expand by 1 to 1 1/2 percentage points, to between 10% and 11%, on  moderate merchandise margin improvements bolstered by better buying, use of packaway, and lean in-store inventories (as indicated by RBC).

Fitzsimmons  wrote about Burlington shares being " expensive but rightly so, given BURL's productivity and margin runway." The analyst has set a price target at $230 for the shares. 

Related Ticker: BURL

BURL saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for BURL moved out of overbought territory on February 13, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 69 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BURL as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BURL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BURL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BURL advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 236 cases where BURL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BURL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BURL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BURL's P/B Ratio (15.129) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.992). P/E Ratio (43.921) is within average values for comparable stocks, (102.786). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.955) is also within normal values, averaging (1.338). BURL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (1.390) is also within normal values, averaging (2.042).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 12.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. IVDN experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while PLCE experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -63%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -54% and the average quarterly volume growth was -79%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -41 (-100 ... +100)
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BURLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of men's, women's and children's apparel

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
2006 Route 130 North
Phone
+1 609 387-7800
Employees
61166
Web
https://www.burlingtoninvestors.com
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BURL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To BURL
1D Price
Change %
BURL100%
-1.41%
ROST - BURL
60%
Loosely correlated
+0.80%
TLYS - BURL
48%
Loosely correlated
+2.80%
CAL - BURL
46%
Loosely correlated
+1.64%
BKE - BURL
45%
Loosely correlated
+1.00%
TJX - BURL
44%
Loosely correlated
+0.27%
More
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