CarMax (KMX, $93.40) beats Q3 sales estimate, misses earnings expectation
CarMax’s revenue surpassed the Street's expectations. Its earnings, however, fell short of analysts’ estimates.
The used-car retailer ‘s third-quarter revenue increased +11.5% year-over-year to $4.79 billion, exceeding analysts’ estimate of $4.68 billion.
Same-store sales climbed +7.5%, beating analysts' expectation of +6.2% . Strong conversion, bolstered by continued support from third-party lending partners, web traffic growth, and a favorable response to consumer initiatives boosted the results.
Used vehicle sales rose +13.6% to $4.03 billion, which is higher than analysts’ estimate of $3.97 billion. Wholesale vehicle sales increased +1.2%, missing expectations of $625.5 million.
Earnings for the quarter came in at $1.04 a share, missing analysts’ forecast of $1.14. The figure was also lower from the year-ago quarter’s $1.09 a share. Bill Nash, president and CEO, indicated that the earnings decline was largely due to higher stock-based compensation expense, reflecting an increasing share price and an increase in third-quarter advertising expense related to the company’s omni-channel launch and the roll-out of a new national advertising campaign.
KMX sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
On December 24, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for KMX moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 59 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for KMX moved above the 200-day moving average on December 06, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMX advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
KMX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where KMX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMX moved out of overbought territory on December 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KMX as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KMX turned negative on December 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KMX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.245) is normal, around the industry mean (12.393). P/E Ratio (27.457) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.657). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.093) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). KMX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.512) is also within normal values, averaging (19.235).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a holding company whose subsidiaries sell and finance used motor vehicles
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