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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 10, 2019

Chewy (CHWY, $24.16) nears expiry of early investor lock-up period; posts wider-than-expected Q3 loss

Chewy Inc. shares declined during pre-market trading Tuesday - after reporting wider-than-expected losses the previous day, and ahead of the expiry of early investors’  lock-up period.

On Monday, the online retailer of pet food and other pet-related products reported  third quarter loss of -20 cents per share –which was wider than anticipated.

However, total sales increased +40% from the same period last year to $1.23 billion. The company’s  customer base grew +33% to 12.7 million. 

For the full-year, Chewy expects sales to range between $4.82 billion and $4.84 billion. It projects adjusted operating profit margin improvement of between 4.4% and 4.6%.

In June, Chewy went public, finishing its first day of trading at $34.99 per share , +59% above its IPO price. It raised more than $1 billion in its public debut. But the lock-up expiry is tomorrow, which would let some 83% of the outstanding shares to be freely traded – which means, early investors get a chance to cash out from their IPO holdings.

 

Related Ticker: CHWY

CHWY sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for CHWY moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHWY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CHWY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for CHWY entered a downward trend on November 13, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHWY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHWY as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CHWY just turned positive on November 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where CHWY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHWY advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CHWY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CHWY's P/B Ratio (35.211) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.168). P/E Ratio (92.028) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.672). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.271) is also within normal values, averaging (3.313). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.143) is also within normal values, averaging (16.173).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHWY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 52.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 2.32T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.32T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 167%. JWEL experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while NHTC experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. CHWY showed earnings on September 10, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which operates as a web-based, pet supplies e-tailer.

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
7700 West Sunrise Boulevard
Phone
+1 786 320-7111
Employees
18100
Web
https://www.chewy.com
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