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Jul 12, 2023

Choppy Market Strategy for INTC, +10.19% Returns - TA&FA Tactics

Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) Proves Effective for INTC, Generating 10.19% Amidst Choppy Market Conditions

In the volatile and unpredictable landscape of today's financial markets, one strategy, in particular, has shown remarkable effectiveness. The Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) has generated a significant return of 10.19% for the popular stock, Intel Corporation (INTC). This impressive performance comes as a notable triumph amidst the choppy market conditions that have become the norm in recent times.

The core mechanism of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) is built on the principles of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA). It focuses on striking a balance between buying and short-selling securities, thereby ensuring the portfolio's broad market exposure is limited. This strategy is specially designed to perform well in a volatile market, thus benefiting INTC investors in the current financial climate.

A key player in the strategy's success is the Aroon Indicator. This tool has proved itself invaluable, accurately predicting an uptrend for INTC today. This bullish signal suggests a potential increase in stock price, further strengthening the viability of the Market Neutral Strategy.

Historical performance supports this prediction: out of the 235 previous instances where INTC's Aroon Indicator has entered an uptrend, the stock price has risen in 144 cases within the following month. This results in odds of a continued uptrend at approximately 61%.

These indicators underline the strength of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) in uncertain market conditions. For investors, the performance of INTC represents a reassuring testament to the efficacy of this strategy. Such an approach may offer considerable potential for both portfolio diversification and returns, irrespective of broader market movement.

While it's important to recognize that past performance is not a guarantee of future results, the combination of the Aroon Indicator's bullish signal and the strategy's robust historical record is promising. The Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) with its 10.19% return on INTC reiterates that strategic investing can yield positive results, even amidst the most challenging of market conditions.

Related Ticker: INTC

INTC sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On October 25, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for INTC moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 66 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 66 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

INTC moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 183 cases where INTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on September 30, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

INTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.871) is normal, around the industry mean (7.487). P/E Ratio (97.750) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.536) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.811) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (null:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (null:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (null:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (null:AMD), Texas Instruments (null:TXN), QUALCOMM (null:QCOM), Applied Materials (null:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (null:LRCX), Micron Technology (null:MU), Analog Devices (null:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 49.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.98T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.98T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. PRKR experienced the highest price growth at 87%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 38 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard
Phone
+1 408 765-8080
Employees
124800
Web
https://www.intel.com
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