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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 12, 2023

Choppy Market Strategy for INTC, +10.19% Returns - TA&FA Tactics

Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) Proves Effective for INTC, Generating 10.19% Amidst Choppy Market Conditions

In the volatile and unpredictable landscape of today's financial markets, one strategy, in particular, has shown remarkable effectiveness. The Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) has generated a significant return of 10.19% for the popular stock, Intel Corporation (INTC). This impressive performance comes as a notable triumph amidst the choppy market conditions that have become the norm in recent times.

The core mechanism of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) is built on the principles of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA). It focuses on striking a balance between buying and short-selling securities, thereby ensuring the portfolio's broad market exposure is limited. This strategy is specially designed to perform well in a volatile market, thus benefiting INTC investors in the current financial climate.

A key player in the strategy's success is the Aroon Indicator. This tool has proved itself invaluable, accurately predicting an uptrend for INTC today. This bullish signal suggests a potential increase in stock price, further strengthening the viability of the Market Neutral Strategy.

Historical performance supports this prediction: out of the 235 previous instances where INTC's Aroon Indicator has entered an uptrend, the stock price has risen in 144 cases within the following month. This results in odds of a continued uptrend at approximately 61%.

These indicators underline the strength of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) in uncertain market conditions. For investors, the performance of INTC represents a reassuring testament to the efficacy of this strategy. Such an approach may offer considerable potential for both portfolio diversification and returns, irrespective of broader market movement.

While it's important to recognize that past performance is not a guarantee of future results, the combination of the Aroon Indicator's bullish signal and the strategy's robust historical record is promising. The Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) with its 10.19% return on INTC reiterates that strategic investing can yield positive results, even amidst the most challenging of market conditions.

Related Ticker: INTC

INTC in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on April 07, 2025

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 07, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on April 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INTC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INTC just turned positive on April 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where INTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.872) is normal, around the industry mean (9.350). P/E Ratio (97.750) is within average values for comparable stocks, (69.809). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (2.176). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.618) is also within normal values, averaging (55.906).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), KLA Corp (NASDAQ:KLAC).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 47.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.86T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.86T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 22%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. ATOM experienced the highest price growth at 46%, while SQNS experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -54% and the average quarterly volume growth was 20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 35 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard
Phone
+1 408 765-8080
Employees
124800
Web
https://www.intel.com
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