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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 19, 2023

Closed-End Investment Grows +3.33%: 1 Month Review $MVO, $HRZN, $BCSF

Overview of Closed-End Investment Theme
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) Annualized Return +29%
and
Swing Trader, Long Only: Growth Model (Diversified) Annualized Return +13%
Theme Closed-End Investment +3.33%, 1 Month Change 

Introduction to Closed-End Investment Funds

Closed-end investment funds (CEFs) are unique mutual funds that are traded on an exchange, unlike traditional open-ended funds that are managed through the mutual fund investment company. CEFs differ from open-ended funds as they can be bought or sold during market hours, and they have the flexibility to invest in various sectors, industries, or bond groups, making them versatile investment vehicles.

Theme: Closed-End Investment

Group of Tickers: $MVO, $HRZN, $PFX, $ICMB, $BCSF

1 Month Change: +3.33%

Description of Selected Tickers

1. $MVO (Mid-Con Energy Partners)

  • Weekly Price Growth: Experienced the highest price growth in the group at 2.85%.
  • Market Capitalization: Positioned within the range of the group with market cap specifics not provided.

2. $HRZN (Horizon Technology Finance)

  • Price: $11.68 as of 6/1/23.
  • Weekly Performance: Was a top loser this week, declining by -9.11%.
  • Earnings Expectations: Expected to report earnings rise of +11.28% to 51 cents per share on August 14.
  • Other Financials: The P/B Ratio, P/E Ratio, PEG Ratio, Dividend Yield, and P/S Ratio are within normal values for comparable stocks.
  • Market Capitalization: $397.76M.

3. $BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance)

  • Market Capitalization: Holds the highest valuation in this group at 976.8M, making it a significant player in the closed-end investment theme.

Market Analysis

Average Market Capitalization: Across the closed-end investment theme, the average market cap is 327.8M, with values ranging from 53.2M to 52.5B.

Price Growth:

  • Weekly: The average weekly price growth across the theme was 0.05%.
  • Monthly: The average monthly price growth was 3.35%.
  • Quarterly: The average quarterly price growth was 7.09%.

Volume Growth:

  • Weekly: The average weekly volume growth across the theme was -34.26%.
  • Monthly: The average monthly volume growth was -9.99%.
  • Quarterly: The average quarterly volume growth was 22.37%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings:

  • Valuation Rating: 24
  • P/E Growth Rating: 51
  • Price Growth Rating: 46
  • SMR Rating: 46
  • Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)

The closed-end investment theme provides a versatile and appealing investment avenue, capable of exposing investors to a variety of sectors and industries. Despite the short-term fluctuations and the declines in some tickers, the theme has exhibited positive monthly growth, reflecting the potential for investors who understand the particular dynamics of CEFs. The analysis of the three specific tickers, $MVO, $HRZN, and $BCSF, highlights varied performances and prospects within the theme, offering diverse opportunities for investment strategies.

Related Ticker: MVO, HRZN, PFX, ICMB, BCSF

MVO's Stochastic Oscillator stoops into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for MVO moved into oversold territory on March 31, 2025. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for MVO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MVO advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MVO moved out of overbought territory on March 21, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MVO as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MVO turned negative on March 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MVO moved below its 50-day moving average on March 28, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MVO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MVO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MVO entered a downward trend on March 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MVO's P/B Ratio (23.095) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.401). P/E Ratio (7.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.066). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.138) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.969) is also within normal values, averaging (161.036).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MVO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. HYTLF experienced the highest price growth at 60%, while ZNOG experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -27% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a closed-end investment trust

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds
Address
601 Travis Street
Phone
+1 713 483-6020
Employees
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Web
https://mvo.q4web.com/home/default.aspx
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