Overview of Closed-End Investment Theme
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) Annualized Return +29%
and
Swing Trader, Long Only: Growth Model (Diversified) Annualized Return +13%
Theme Closed-End Investment +3.33%, 1 Month Change
Introduction to Closed-End Investment Funds
Closed-end investment funds (CEFs) are unique mutual funds that are traded on an exchange, unlike traditional open-ended funds that are managed through the mutual fund investment company. CEFs differ from open-ended funds as they can be bought or sold during market hours, and they have the flexibility to invest in various sectors, industries, or bond groups, making them versatile investment vehicles.
Theme: Closed-End Investment
Group of Tickers: $MVO, $HRZN, $PFX, $ICMB, $BCSF
1 Month Change: +3.33%
Description of Selected Tickers
1. $MVO (Mid-Con Energy Partners)
2. $HRZN (Horizon Technology Finance)
3. $BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance)
Market Analysis
Average Market Capitalization: Across the closed-end investment theme, the average market cap is 327.8M, with values ranging from 53.2M to 52.5B.
Price Growth:
Volume Growth:
Fundamental Analysis Ratings:
The closed-end investment theme provides a versatile and appealing investment avenue, capable of exposing investors to a variety of sectors and industries. Despite the short-term fluctuations and the declines in some tickers, the theme has exhibited positive monthly growth, reflecting the potential for investors who understand the particular dynamics of CEFs. The analysis of the three specific tickers, $MVO, $HRZN, and $BCSF, highlights varied performances and prospects within the theme, offering diverse opportunities for investment strategies.
The 10-day moving average for MVO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where MVO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
MVO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 24, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MVO advanced for three days, in of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 255 cases where MVO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MVO moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MVO as a result. In of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MVO turned negative on October 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MVO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MVO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MVO's P/B Ratio (23.095) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.175). P/E Ratio (7.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.495). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.525). Dividend Yield (0.138) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.969) is also within normal values, averaging (153.585).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MVO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a closed-end investment trust
Industry OilGasProduction