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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 19, 2023

Closed-End Investment Grows +3.33%: 1 Month Review $MVO, $HRZN, $BCSF

Overview of Closed-End Investment Theme
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) Annualized Return +29%
and
Swing Trader, Long Only: Growth Model (Diversified) Annualized Return +13%
Theme Closed-End Investment +3.33%, 1 Month Change 

Introduction to Closed-End Investment Funds

Closed-end investment funds (CEFs) are unique mutual funds that are traded on an exchange, unlike traditional open-ended funds that are managed through the mutual fund investment company. CEFs differ from open-ended funds as they can be bought or sold during market hours, and they have the flexibility to invest in various sectors, industries, or bond groups, making them versatile investment vehicles.

Theme: Closed-End Investment

Group of Tickers: $MVO, $HRZN, $PFX, $ICMB, $BCSF

1 Month Change: +3.33%

Description of Selected Tickers

1. $MVO (Mid-Con Energy Partners)

  • Weekly Price Growth: Experienced the highest price growth in the group at 2.85%.
  • Market Capitalization: Positioned within the range of the group with market cap specifics not provided.

2. $HRZN (Horizon Technology Finance)

  • Price: $11.68 as of 6/1/23.
  • Weekly Performance: Was a top loser this week, declining by -9.11%.
  • Earnings Expectations: Expected to report earnings rise of +11.28% to 51 cents per share on August 14.
  • Other Financials: The P/B Ratio, P/E Ratio, PEG Ratio, Dividend Yield, and P/S Ratio are within normal values for comparable stocks.
  • Market Capitalization: $397.76M.

3. $BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance)

  • Market Capitalization: Holds the highest valuation in this group at 976.8M, making it a significant player in the closed-end investment theme.

Market Analysis

Average Market Capitalization: Across the closed-end investment theme, the average market cap is 327.8M, with values ranging from 53.2M to 52.5B.

Price Growth:

  • Weekly: The average weekly price growth across the theme was 0.05%.
  • Monthly: The average monthly price growth was 3.35%.
  • Quarterly: The average quarterly price growth was 7.09%.

Volume Growth:

  • Weekly: The average weekly volume growth across the theme was -34.26%.
  • Monthly: The average monthly volume growth was -9.99%.
  • Quarterly: The average quarterly volume growth was 22.37%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings:

  • Valuation Rating: 24
  • P/E Growth Rating: 51
  • Price Growth Rating: 46
  • SMR Rating: 46
  • Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)

The closed-end investment theme provides a versatile and appealing investment avenue, capable of exposing investors to a variety of sectors and industries. Despite the short-term fluctuations and the declines in some tickers, the theme has exhibited positive monthly growth, reflecting the potential for investors who understand the particular dynamics of CEFs. The analysis of the three specific tickers, $MVO, $HRZN, and $BCSF, highlights varied performances and prospects within the theme, offering diverse opportunities for investment strategies.

Related Ticker: MVO, HRZN, PFX, ICMB, BCSF

MVO in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on March 03, 2025

MVO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 30 cases where MVO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MVO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MVO just turned positive on February 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where MVO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MVO advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MVO as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MVO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MVO's P/B Ratio (23.095) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.533). P/E Ratio (7.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.066). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.138) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.969) is also within normal values, averaging (161.036).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MVO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MVO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. CTARF experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while JROOF experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was 82%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a closed-end investment trust

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds
Address
601 Travis Street
Phone
+1 713 483-6020
Employees
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Web
https://mvo.q4web.com/home/default.aspx
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