Constellation (STZ, $187.09) beats fiscal Q4 earnings estimates, says cheers to beer
Constellation Brands fiscal fourth quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ expectations, largely in part due to the beverage company’s beer sales. The company is also pulling out from its low-end wine brands, apparently to focus on better selling products.
Comparable earnings for the three months ending February came in at $1.84 per share, down -3.15% from the year-ago quarter, but higher than the Street estimate of $1.72 per share.
The company’s sales of $1.797 billion also beat analysts' estimates of $1.73 billion. Sales were also +2% higher compared to the year-ago period.
As it is, consumers are increasingly adopting healthier lifestyles and food habits. People who still consume alcohol are apparently preferring higher-quality wine or premium beer. It is probably this shift in consumer choices that has led Constellation to re-allocate its business more towards beer and other high-end beverages.
On Wednesday, Constellation announced plans to sell off about 30 brands from its wine and spirits portfolio to E. & J. Gallo Winery for $1.7 billion. The company will also be launching its first ever non-beer beverage, named Corona Refresca, during its first quarter.
For the latest reported quarter, Constellation’s beer sales climbed +9.3% year-over-year to $1.09 billion. According to the company, its beer business was the top U.S. market share gainer during the holiday season. It mentioned its brands Modelo Especial, Corona Premier and Corona Familiar as major contributors to its solid beer sales.
Sales from its wine and spirits segment, on the other hand, plunged -7.6% year-over-year to $707.1 million.
For fiscal full-year 2020, Constellation forecasts that its comparable earnings would range between $8.50 and $8.80 per share, excluding Canopy Growth equity earnings (Constellation bought a 38% stake in the marijuana company last year, as a sign of its plans to expand footprints in the cannabis space). The company hopes to have a 7%-9% growth in operating income from its beer division, while anticipating wine and spirits to be hit by -30% to -35% decline in operating incomes.
STZ's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for STZ moved out of oversold territory on September 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on September 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STZ as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on October 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: STZ's P/B Ratio (3.277) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.042). P/E Ratio (20.438) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.598). STZ's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.126) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.328). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. STZ's P/S Ratio (2.608) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.364).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an alcoholic beverages distributor
Industry FoodMeatFishDairy
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