Deere (DE, $147.81) misses Q2 earnings estimates; lowers full-year outlook on trade uncertainties
Deere & Co. reported its third quarter earnings that came in lower than expected by analysts. The company also lowered guidance on its full year sales and profit.
The farm equipment maker’s earnings in the quarter increased +4.6% year-over-year to $2.71 per share, but fell short of the Street estimate by 13 cents.
But total revenues climbed +3% from last year to $10.03 billion – beating analysts' forecasts of $9.38 billion.
Looking ahead, Deere expects its full-year 2019 equipment sales to increase + 4% - which is below its prior forecast of around +5%. The company now predicts that its net income would come in at $3.2 billion, down from the company's earlier guidance of $3.3 billion.
CEO Sam Allen indicated that trade tensions continue to weigh on the agriculture industry and therefore on Deere’s earnings prospects. Allen mentioned concerns over exports market, near-term demand for commodities such as soybeans, and overall crop conditions – headwinds that have reportedly led to many farmers holding off major equipment purchases.
Nevertheless, Allen remains hopeful that the long-term potential for the company’s businesses remains healthy. He emphasized that Deere continues to expand its global customer base, and that it is focused on achieving sustainable profitable growth.
Aroon Indicator for DE shows an upward move is likely
DE's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 10, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 251 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 251 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 64 cases where DE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for DE moved above the 200-day moving average on October 04, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DE moved out of overbought territory on October 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DE as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DE turned negative on October 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (5.097) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.095). P/E Ratio (11.779) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.104). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.316) is also within normal values, averaging (2.737). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.957) is also within normal values, averaging (121.053).
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a manufacturer of agricultural, industrial, commercial and consumer equipment
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery