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Feb 21, 2020

Dropbox (DBX, $18.72) posts narrower-than-expected net loss for Q4

Dropbox posted a fourth-quarter net loss, but the result was still better than analysts’ expectations.  

The online storage/file hosting platform’s GAAP net loss came in at -2 cents a share for the latest quarter, compared to the loss of -3 cents a share that analysts polled by FactSet had estimated. The loss was same as the year-ago quarter.

Dropbox’s revenue climbed +19% year-over-year to $446 million in the quarter, beating analysts’ expectation of $443.3 million.

There were 14.3 million paying users for Dropbox at the end of the fourth quarter, up +13% from a year earlier. Average revenue per paying user grew +4.5% to $125.

The board authorized share buyback of upto $600 million.

Related Ticker: DBX

Momentum Indicator for DBX turns negative, indicating new downward trend

DBX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on February 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DBX turned negative on January 31, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

DBX moved below its 50-day moving average on February 16, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DBX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 24 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DBX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DBX advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DBX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 227 cases where DBX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (28.933). P/E Ratio (18.260) is within average values for comparable stocks, (145.312). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.166) is also within normal values, averaging (2.854). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.088) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.305) is also within normal values, averaging (74.781).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DBX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DBX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.07T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.07T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. MTC experienced the highest price growth at 142%, while IFBD experienced the biggest fall at -97%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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DBXDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of file backup, sync and sharing solutions

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Data Processing Services
Address
1800 Owens Street
Phone
+1 415 857-6800
Employees
2693
Web
https://www.dropbox.com
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DBX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DBX has been loosely correlated with RIOT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DBX jumps, then RIOT could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DBX
1D Price
Change %
DBX100%
+0.92%
RIOT - DBX
60%
Loosely correlated
+2.34%
CLSK - DBX
57%
Loosely correlated
+6.82%
COIN - DBX
55%
Loosely correlated
+1.09%
ADBE - DBX
51%
Loosely correlated
+1.96%
COMP - DBX
47%
Loosely correlated
-2.53%
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