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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 04, 2018

Emerging Market Currency Roil Deepens While Dollar Extends Gains

Emerging market currencies are getting crushed even as the rally in U.S. dollar continues to firm up.

Declining for the fifth time in six days, the MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index plunged to its lowest level in more than a year. The rand, lira, Argentine peso among other currencies extend declines amidst their respective domestic economic chaos - including South Africa’s land-reform bill, Turkey’s high inflation concerns and Argentina's fiscal uncertainties .

The U.S. dollar, on the other hand, rose for the fourth day, in a rising interest rate environment and following U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on an additional $200 billion on imported Chinese goods by Thursday.

Related Ticker: EEM

EEM in +0.11% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on December 03, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where EEM advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EEM as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EEM just turned positive on December 05, 2025. Looking at past instances where EEM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EEM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

EEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for EEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EEM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for EEM entered a downward trend on December 03, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), Gold Fields Ltd (NYSE:GFI), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The index is designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. The underlying index includes large- and mid-capitalization companies and may change over time.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF ETF is 22.86B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 179.73K to 166.98B. PDD holds the highest valuation in this group at 166.98B. The lowest valued company is TPIA at 179.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF ETF was 1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. AMR experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while XP experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF ETF was 70%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 11% and the average quarterly volume growth was 10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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Category DiversifiedEmergingMkts

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Diversified Emerging Mkts
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iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
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Web
www.ishares.com
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