Etsy (ETSY, $154.89) beats Q4 earnings expectations
Etsy’s fourth quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ expectations.
The e-commerce company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.11 a share, well above analysts’ expectations of 79 cents.
Revenue increased +16% from the year-ago quarter to $717.1 million, vs. analysts’ estimate of $684.5 million.
Gross merchandise sales per active seller rose +16% to reach an all-time high of $136. More than half of Etsy's 2020 active buyers, and 37% of 2020 new buyers returned to make a purchase in 2021.
Consolidated gross merchandise sales climbed +16.5% to a record $4.2 billion.
Active sellers on Etsy surged +72% to 7.5 million, while active buyers count increased +17.6% to reach 96.3 million.
ETSY sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
ETSY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 13, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ETSY moved out of overbought territory on June 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ETSY as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ETSY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 74 cases where ETSY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
ETSY moved above its 50-day moving average on July 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ETSY advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 189 cases where ETSY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ETSY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (4.294). P/E Ratio (39.399) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.412). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.334) is also within normal values, averaging (1.419). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.409) is also within normal values, averaging (6.690).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ETSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an online marketplace for buying and selling of handmade and vintage goods
Industry InternetRetail
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