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Etsy (ETSY, $154.89) beats Q4 earnings expectations
Etsy’s fourth quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ expectations.
The e-commerce company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.11 a share, well above analysts’ expectations of 79 cents.
Revenue increased +16% from the year-ago quarter to $717.1 million, vs. analysts’ estimate of $684.5 million.
Gross merchandise sales per active seller rose +16% to reach an all-time high of $136. More than half of Etsy's 2020 active buyers, and 37% of 2020 new buyers returned to make a purchase in 2021.
Consolidated gross merchandise sales climbed +16.5% to a record $4.2 billion.
Active sellers on Etsy surged +72% to 7.5 million, while active buyers count increased +17.6% to reach 96.3 million.
ETSY in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 11, 2022
ETSY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 33 cases where ETSY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Current price $92.08 is below $194.51 the lowest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 04/12/22 - 05/13/22, the price experienced a -18% Downtrend, while the week of 05/06/22 - 05/13/22 shows a +7% Uptrend.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ETSY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETSY just turned positive on May 13, 2022. Looking at past instances where ETSY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +18.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ETSY advanced for three days, in 282 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 05, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ETSY as a result. In 60 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ETSY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for ETSY entered a downward trend on May 13, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 70%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.21.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ETSY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (17.301) is normal, around the industry mean (19.948). P/E Ratio (30.675) is within average values for comparable stocks, (97.611). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.381) is also within normal values, averaging (3.022). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.747) is also within normal values, averaging (71.438).
The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30 to 1.2T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.2T. The lowest valued company is YUKA at 30.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -0.64%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.79%. AHAHF experienced the highest price growth at 256.87%, while BHHOF experienced the biggest fall at -48.01%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Etsy (ETSY, $92.08) was a top weekly gainer, with a +6.6% jump
- 5/5/22 4:57 AM: Etsy (ETSY, $109.33) was a top weekly gainer, with a +12.08% jump
- 2/26/22 6:56 AM: Etsy (ETSY, $148.94) was a top weekly gainer, with a +17% jump
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 13.94%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 50.08% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5.71%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the MA200MA50 Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 58%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.32.
55 stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the negative outlook based on the Declines indicator with average odds of 82%.
The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com NV (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).
The average market capitalization across the group is 27.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 0 to 1.2T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.2T. The lowest valued company is QRTEP at 0.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Amazon.com (AMZN, $2,261.1), market cap jumped by $62.3B
- 5/10/22 5:36 AM: Amazon.com (AMZN, $2,175.78) saw a $159.8B market cap decrease this week
- 5/3/22 8:18 AM: Amazon.com (AMZN, $2,490) saw a $219.0B market cap decrease this week
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -1.84%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -18.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -54.24%. AHAHF experienced the highest price growth at 256.87%, while BHHOF experienced the biggest fall at -48.01%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Coupang (CPNG, $13.34) was a top weekly gainer, with a +10.8% jump
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Poshmark (POSH, $12.04) was a top weekly gainer, with a +7.6% jump
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Blue Apron Holdings (APRN, $3.68) was a top weekly gainer, with a +13.23% jump
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 120.12%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 136.66% and the average quarterly volume growth was 272.22%
- 5/14/22 4:16 AM: The volume for Yunji stock increased for three consecutive days, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 171% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 4/26/22 5:03 AM: The volume for Yunji stock increased for two consecutive days, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 226% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 4/23/22 4:12 AM: The volume for Yunji stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 278% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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