Expedia (EXPE, $127.88) beats Q4 earnings & revenue expectations, registers positive growth in customer bookings
Expedia Group registered earnings of $1.24 a share in the fourth quarter, beating analysts’ expectation of $1.08. Revenue of $2.6 billion exceeded Wall Street estimate of $2.5 billion, and were also +10% higher compared to the year-ago quarter.
The online travel platform had total gross bookings (by customers on rooms, flights and other travel across Expedia’s brands) of $21.96 billion - which indicates a year-over-year growth of +11%.
For the full-year 2018, Expedia raked in $902 million in net profits, up +33% over 2017. Annual revenue of $11.2 billion was +12% higher, compared to 2017.
The company projects that its adjusted earnings (before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) will increase in the range of +10% to +15% in 2019. Analysts were expecting the figure to be +9%, according to Bloomberg data.
Expedia shares rose +7.5% in pre-market trading Friday.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
EXPE sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On September 15, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for EXPE moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 61 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 47 of the 61 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EXPE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +4.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPE advanced for three days, in 236 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
EXPE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 158 of 206 cases where EXPE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXPE as a result. In 59 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXPE turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
EXPE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EXPE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EXPE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (27.701) is normal, around the industry mean (24.106). P/E Ratio (17.569) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.170). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.734) is also within normal values, averaging (1.616). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.315) is also within normal values, averaging (6.472).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a provider of on-line travel services
Industry ConsumerSundries
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