Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM, $79.66) Lacks Investors’ Confidence Ahead of Q3 Results
The Texas-based energy giant, Exxon Mobil Corp, hasn't been able to garner too much excitement among the investor community ahead of its third-quarter earnings report on Friday. Shaky previous quarterly results are to blame.
Analysts have nevertheless given an average price target of $89.63, representing 20% upside over current share prices. Investors are squaring on Exxon's production numbers, which have been weaker in recent quarters. Expectations are that the production numbers would dip in this quarter also owing to its operational constraints, but the good news is expected from Exxon’s chemical and refining side. Wall Street analysts have largely given the stock a hold rating.
On the backdrop of the recent rally in oil prices, analysts expect Exxon's bottom-line to improve this quarter, but are skeptical about earnings in the future if crude oil prices can't hold.
XOM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
XOM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 30, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
XOM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 299 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.822) is normal, around the industry mean (1.201). P/E Ratio (15.943) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.914). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.638) is also within normal values, averaging (1.853). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.497) is also within normal values, averaging (0.913).
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General Information
a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products
Industry IntegratedOil
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