On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hiked policy interest rate for the fourth time this year. The target fed funds rate – the interest rate at which banks can lend each other overnight – now stands at 2.25-2.5%, after the latest quarter-point increase.
The highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meet also brought to fore potential challenges and pressures facing the central bank. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated "cross-currents emerging" which led most officials to temper their economic growth forecast for 2019. There would possibility be two rate hikes next year, which is fewer than previously expected – as hinted by Powell. As of the latest meeting, only six FOMC participants expect there could be as many as three.
Nevertheless, the Fed is still keen on letting fresh data guide their rate hike decisions going forward as well. The Fed does have a delicate task on hand : tightening credit to prevent overheating, but without stoking recessionary pressures.
On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted, requesting the Fed to be wary of further rate hikes so as to not make markets any more “illiquid”.
SPY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 28, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 73 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 73 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SPY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on November 28, 2025. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 364 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category LargeBlend