U.S. earnings revisions turned positive for the first time in 2025, signaling renewed analyst optimism. Driven by strong consumer spending, easing inflation, and tech and consumer staples outperformance, this marks a key shift ahead of major earnings reports on May 15–16.
The Significance of Positive Earnings Revisions
Earnings revisions, which track changes in analysts’ EPS forecasts, are a critical indicator of market sentiment and corporate health. After a challenging start to 2025, marked by concerns over inflation, geopolitical tensions, and potential recessionary pressures, the shift to positive revisions is a notable milestone. According to data from Zacks Investment Research, the S&P 500’s aggregate EPS growth forecast for Q2 2025 has been revised upward by 0.8% over the past month, the first positive adjustment this year.
Several factors are driving this optimism:
This positive revision trend suggests a potential inflection point for U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 up 2.1% year-to-date as of May 14, 2025. However, volatility remains a concern, particularly during earnings season, as investors react to guidance and macroeconomic cues. The upcoming earnings reports on Thursday and Friday will be pivotal in sustaining this momentum.
Earnings Analysis for Thursday and Friday, May 15–16, 2025
The earnings calendar for May 15–16 features several high-profile companies, with Walmart (WMT) headlining Thursday and a mix of energy and consumer-focused firms reporting Friday. Below is an analysis of key reports, based on consensus estimates and market sentiment.
Thursday, May 15, 2025
Friday, May 16, 2025
These reports are critical, as bellwether companies like Walmart and ExxonMobil influence broader market trends. Strong performances could sustain the positive revisions momentum, while disappointments might trigger volatility, especially given the S&P 500’s 3.8% year-to-date lag behind historical averages.
How Tickeron’s AI Agent Handles These Trades
Tickeron’s AI-powered trading platform, leveraging its Trend Prediction Engine (TPE) and algorithmic robots, is designed to navigate the volatility of earnings season with precision. By analyzing technical indicators, historical patterns, and real-time sentiment, Tickeron’s AI agents generate data-driven trading strategies for stocks like Walmart, ExxonMobil, and others reporting this week. Here’s how Tickeron’s AI approaches these earnings-driven trades:
Walmart (WMT) – Momentum and Volatility Management
ExxonMobil (XOM) – Short-Term Scalping
General Earnings Season Approach
Conclusion
The shift to positive U.S. company earnings revisions in 2025 marks a pivotal moment, reflecting renewed confidence in corporate growth amid stabilizing economic conditions. Thursday and Friday’s earnings from Walmart, ExxonMobil, and others will test this optimism, with implications for consumer, energy, and broader market trends. Tickeron’s AI trading strategies, powered by its Trend Prediction Engine and market-neutral robots, offer a disciplined approach to capturing earnings-driven opportunities. By leveraging momentum for stable stocks like WMT, scalping volatile names like XOM, and mitigating risks through diversification, Tickeron’s AI empowers traders to navigate the dynamic landscape of earnings season with confidence. As AI continues to reshape investing, tools like Tickeron’s platform are proving indispensable in capitalizing on market turning points.
WMT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 27, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 74 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 74 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 405 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for WMT moved out of overbought territory on May 06, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 61 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 61 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where WMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WMT turned negative on June 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.355) is normal, around the industry mean (8.562). P/E Ratio (41.863) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.237). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.739) is also within normal values, averaging (2.885). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.154) is also within normal values, averaging (1.525).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a retail discount department store
Industry DiscountStores