Grading Three Chip Manufacturers Ahead of Earnings
A number of the largest semiconductor manufacturers will be releasing earnings in the next few weeks. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM), and Texas Instruments (Nasdaq: TXN) are all set to report in the next few days and I it would be worth looking at these three stocks ahead of the earnings reports.
Using Tickeron’s various tools I was able to look at the fundamentals, the technical analysis, the AI Trend Predictions, and the scorecards for all three stocks.
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this group and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month. The likelihood of success is at 80%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.02 to 1.
The stocks exhibit a similar positive trend based on the Momentum indicator with an average likelihood of 72%.
Looking at the scorecard ratings, STM and Texas Instruments both have “strong buy” ratings while Intel has a “buy” rating. Both the 30-day and 7-day outlooks for the group are strong with the odds of moving up at 81% for the 30-day outlook and 82% for the 7-day outlook.
One of the most impressive findings for these three companies was from the Fundamental Screener. All three companies had numerous positive ratings without a single negative fundamental rating. There were some neutral ratings, but not a single negative rating.
We see that Texas Instruments has six positive, or bullish, fundamental ratings with only the Price Growth Rating coming in with a neutral reading of 37. Even that reading is close to being positive. Intel has four positive ratings and two neutral ratings. STM has three positive and three neutral ratings.
One thing that really jumped out at me was the Valuation Ratings of the three stocks. All three are considered undervalued at this time and ahead of earnings reports that can be a critical factor.
The technical analysis screener is almost as impressive, with only STMicroelectronics exhibiting any negative indicators. The stock moved above its upper Bollinger Band on July 13. Even though the signal was bearish, it only showed odds of success of 55%. That isn’t exactly a high conviction signal.
Intel shows three positive technical signals and two neutral ones. Texas Instruments shows three bullish signals and one neutral one. The technical indicators aren’t quite as impressive as the fundamental indicators, but they are still far more positive than most industries.
Something I find useful heading in to earnings reports is whether or not analysts have been making adjustments to their estimates. With these three companies, the estimates have all been ratcheted down a little in the past 90 days. Intel is expected to report earnings per share of $1.10 after reporting $1.06 last year. It is the only one of the three that is expected to show earnings growth compared to last year.
STMicroelectronics and Texas Instruments are both expected to show declines in their earnings when compared to the same period from last year.
What all of this suggests to me is that expectations have been lowered and when that happens it can make it easier for a company to clear the earnings hurdle.
Another factor in how a stock reacts to the earnings news is the sentiment toward the stock going in to the report. In the table above we see the analysts’ ratings and short interest ratios (SIR) for the three stocks. From a contrarian perspective, skepticism is a good thing. In the case of Intel and Texas Instruments, analysts are more skeptical of them than they are the average stock. This can help if the company delivers a better than expected report—it can create upgrades.
As for the short interest ratios, Intel’s is a little low and Texas Instruments is a little higher than average. STM is pretty average in terms of the analysts’ ratings as well as the short interest ratio.
All in all, I would say the outlook for Intel, STMicroelectronics, and Texas Instruments is pretty solid. The fundamentals are strong, the technical indicators are pointing to a bullish move, and none of the stocks show excessive optimism heading in to the earnings report. That is a pretty solid outlook for the group as a whole.
Momentum Indicator for INTC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
INTC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on March 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 95 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INTC just turned positive on March 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where INTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on March 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on March 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.000) is normal, around the industry mean (9.113). INTC has a moderately high P/E Ratio (904.167) as compared to the industry average of (148.552). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (1.424). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.923) is also within normal values, averaging (30.614).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
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High and low price notable news
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a manufacturer of computer components and related products
Industry Semiconductors
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