Grading Three Chip Manufacturers Ahead of Earnings
A number of the largest semiconductor manufacturers will be releasing earnings in the next few weeks. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM), and Texas Instruments (Nasdaq: TXN) are all set to report in the next few days and I it would be worth looking at these three stocks ahead of the earnings reports.
Using Tickeron’s various tools I was able to look at the fundamentals, the technical analysis, the AI Trend Predictions, and the scorecards for all three stocks.
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this group and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month. The likelihood of success is at 80%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.02 to 1.
The stocks exhibit a similar positive trend based on the Momentum indicator with an average likelihood of 72%.
Looking at the scorecard ratings, STM and Texas Instruments both have “strong buy” ratings while Intel has a “buy” rating. Both the 30-day and 7-day outlooks for the group are strong with the odds of moving up at 81% for the 30-day outlook and 82% for the 7-day outlook.
One of the most impressive findings for these three companies was from the Fundamental Screener. All three companies had numerous positive ratings without a single negative fundamental rating. There were some neutral ratings, but not a single negative rating.
We see that Texas Instruments has six positive, or bullish, fundamental ratings with only the Price Growth Rating coming in with a neutral reading of 37. Even that reading is close to being positive. Intel has four positive ratings and two neutral ratings. STM has three positive and three neutral ratings.
One thing that really jumped out at me was the Valuation Ratings of the three stocks. All three are considered undervalued at this time and ahead of earnings reports that can be a critical factor.
The technical analysis screener is almost as impressive, with only STMicroelectronics exhibiting any negative indicators. The stock moved above its upper Bollinger Band on July 13. Even though the signal was bearish, it only showed odds of success of 55%. That isn’t exactly a high conviction signal.
Intel shows three positive technical signals and two neutral ones. Texas Instruments shows three bullish signals and one neutral one. The technical indicators aren’t quite as impressive as the fundamental indicators, but they are still far more positive than most industries.
Something I find useful heading in to earnings reports is whether or not analysts have been making adjustments to their estimates. With these three companies, the estimates have all been ratcheted down a little in the past 90 days. Intel is expected to report earnings per share of $1.10 after reporting $1.06 last year. It is the only one of the three that is expected to show earnings growth compared to last year.
STMicroelectronics and Texas Instruments are both expected to show declines in their earnings when compared to the same period from last year.
What all of this suggests to me is that expectations have been lowered and when that happens it can make it easier for a company to clear the earnings hurdle.
Another factor in how a stock reacts to the earnings news is the sentiment toward the stock going in to the report. In the table above we see the analysts’ ratings and short interest ratios (SIR) for the three stocks. From a contrarian perspective, skepticism is a good thing. In the case of Intel and Texas Instruments, analysts are more skeptical of them than they are the average stock. This can help if the company delivers a better than expected report—it can create upgrades.
As for the short interest ratios, Intel’s is a little low and Texas Instruments is a little higher than average. STM is pretty average in terms of the analysts’ ratings as well as the short interest ratio.
All in all, I would say the outlook for Intel, STMicroelectronics, and Texas Instruments is pretty solid. The fundamentals are strong, the technical indicators are pointing to a bullish move, and none of the stocks show excessive optimism heading in to the earnings report. That is a pretty solid outlook for the group as a whole.
Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
INTC in +14.05% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on September 22, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 226 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
INTC moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 117 of 174 cases where INTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on September 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 60 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 73 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
INTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.008) is normal, around the industry mean (7.902). INTC's P/E Ratio (904.167) is considerably higher than the industry average of (163.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.705). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (45.163).
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products
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