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Dec 12, 2022

Hello Group (MOMO, $8.93) posts fiscal Q3 revenue decrease

Hello Group Inc.’s third-quarter FY22 net revenue fell -14% year-on-year to $454.5 million,but surpassed the consensus of $445.8 million (according to  Benzinga report).

Revenues from the Live video service plunged -23.5% year-over-year to $233.0 million. Total value-added service was up +0.3% y/y to $216.2 million, while Mobile marketing revenue decreased -34.8% Y/Y to $4.0 million. Mobile games segment revenue, at $1.1 million, was lower by -4.1% y/y.

Non-GAAP net income per ADS came in at $0.37 beat the consensus of $0.30.

Monthly Active Users (MAU) on the Momo application were 108.8 million in September 2022, down from 115.5 million in September 2021. Total paying users of its Momo app was 8.4 million in Q3 FY22, vs. 9.3 million in Q3 FY21.

For Q4, Hello is expecting a revenue decrease of -11.5% to -14.3% Y/Y (i.e. implying $460.5 million - $475.1 million of revenue-- above analysts’ expectations of $454.3 million, according to a Benzinga report).

Related Ticker: MOMO

MOMO sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On November 10, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for MOMO moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 58 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 18, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MOMO as a result. In of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOMO just turned positive on October 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where MOMO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOMO advanced for three days, in of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for MOMO moved below the 200-day moving average on November 14, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOMO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MOMO entered a downward trend on November 14, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MOMO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.727) is normal, around the industry mean (24.162). P/E Ratio (10.402) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.547). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (24.426). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.832) is also within normal values, averaging (36.231).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOMO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 92.93B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.09K to 3.86T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.86T. The lowest valued company is BTIM at 12.09K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. CRTD experienced the highest price growth at 38%, while QQQFF experienced the biggest fall at -52%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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MOMO
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MOMO showed earnings on September 09, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company, which through its subsidiaries operates a mobile-based social networking platform

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
No. 1 Futongdong Street
Phone
+86 1057310567
Employees
1705
Web
https://www.hellogroup.com
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