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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 11, 2019

How HBO's Michael Jackson documentary could impact Sony (SNE, $45.95)

Last year, Sony Music Entertainment entered into a $250 million deal with Michael Jackson’s estate for the rights to distribute the musician’s recordings over the course of seven years. According to the Wall Street Journal, this deal will allow Sony to reap royalties from music streaming services and radio stations playing songs from the musician’s catalogue.

But this deal could take a hit as HBO is launching an explosive documentary series on MJ called ‘Leaving Neverland,’ which detail accounts of two men who accuse the singer of abusing them while they were children.

Figures from Spotify (SPOT) and Apple (AAPL) Music playing MJ’s songs in the wake of this explosive documentary are yet to be published, but in the past there have been instances where the number of streams have increased regardless of whether the news is good or bad. For example, in the wake of the documentary series ‘Surviving R. Kelly’, the R&B singer’s songs generated more than 4 million streams in the U.S. accounting for a 116% increase in the rise of streams.

But ‘Leaving Neverland’ could have a different impact. Due to the explosive nature of the documentary, major radio networks may pull Jackson’s songs from the air until public sentiment has calmed down. Radio stations in Canada and New Zealand have already decided not to play the singer’s songs unless it’s part of a news story.

Even though some may argue that nobody listens to the radio in the era of online music, one still can’t take away the charm of good old radio days. Radio still remains a big money-maker for music companies. Deloitte recently announced that it expects the global radio revenue to reach $40 billion in 2019, a 1% increase over 2018.

Related Ticker: SONY

SONY in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on March 18, 2024

SONY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 46 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 25, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SONY as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SONY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SONY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SONY just turned positive on March 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where SONY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SONY advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 344 cases where SONY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SONY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.181) is normal, around the industry mean (75.229). P/E Ratio (18.797) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.069). SONY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.397) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.923). SONY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (1.223) is also within normal values, averaging (65.707).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO).

Industry description

TVs, telephones, washing machines, home speakers and even home-office equipment like computers and printers…the list is virtually endless when it comes to consumer electronics and appliances. And, with ‘smarthomes’ increasingly becoming the reality, we could see a sharp surge in high-tech gadgets (including robotic appliances) making their way into our homes– and therefore spelling plenty opportunities in the related industries. Consumers account for 70% of US GDP, and their purchases of high-functioning electronics could make significant dents in the economy’s health. Sony Corp., Whirlpool and iRobot are some of the major consumer electronics/appliances makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electronics/Appliances Industry is 83.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 129.13K to 2.65T. AAPL holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.65T. The lowest valued company is IALS at 129.13K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electronics/Appliances Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. HAPBF experienced the highest price growth at 63%, while VTEPF experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electronics/Appliances Industry was -30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 18% and the average quarterly volume growth was 32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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SONYDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

a developer of electronic equipment, consumer & industrial electronics, game consoles & related software and others

Industry ElectronicsAppliances

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electronics Or Appliances
Address
7-1, Konan 1-Chome
Phone
+81 367482111
Employees
113000
Web
https://www.sony.com
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