IBM (IBM, $146.94) updates earnings impact of $34 billion Red Hat-acquisition
On Friday, International Business Machines (IBM) made an update on the earnings impact of its $34 billion acquisition of open-source software firm Red Hat.
Information tech giant IBM said the acquisition could potentially reduce non-GAAP operating earnings for the full-year 2019 by $1.10 to "at least" $12.80 per share, compared to the $13.90 per share forecast the company published in its second-quarter earnings report on July 16.
However, the company reiterated its 2019 free cash flow estimate of $12 billion. It indicated that the Red Hat deal would lower the company's overall tax rate by 2 percentage points.
Looking ahead, IBM expects Red Hat to add $1.5 billion in free cashflow in 2021. It predicts a "high single-digit" growth rate in overall operating pre-tax income for the 2020-2021 period.
Last month, IBM reported non-GAAP earnings of $3.17 per share which surpassed analysts’ estimates. But the full-year guidance it issued at the time did not include the impact of its Red Hat acquisition.
IBM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 18, 2025
IBM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where IBM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where IBM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBM advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 304 cases where IBM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for IBM moved out of overbought territory on October 31, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IBM as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IBM turned negative on November 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 35 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.152) is normal, around the industry mean (9.916). P/E Ratio (36.139) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.085). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.080) is also within normal values, averaging (1.460). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.386) is also within normal values, averaging (35.337).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of various computer products through the use of advanced information technology
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