India is expected to grow 7.3% in 2019, but is the estimate reliable?
Economic growth worldwide has taken a hit, and India is not outside the softening growth projections. A fair comparison could be made with China for whom the Sino-American trade war is proving hazardous. But India may be in a better position than China, as IMF says that being the six-largest economy in the world, India has the potential to grow by 7.3% in 2019.
However, these sources are unreliable.
The former chief economist of IMF himself expressed doubts over the veracity of these numbers, calling them ungrounded since there isn't any substantial job growth in India.
Consequently, he suggested that India should delegate the analysis to an independent third party body that could take a detailed look at the existing economy and come up with accurate numbers and realistic strategies.
China has also been criticized over its dubious growth figures, but some sources justify that it’s simply difficult to compile reliable data for emerging markets like India and China.
According to the World Bank’s statistical capacity score, India is in the 91st percentile in its ability to produce high quality aggregate data, beating China in its score at 77th percentile. This indicates that the nation should have a much easier time compared to China when it comes to providing investors with accurate numbers.
Reasons for the unreliable numbers in India are frequently, perhaps rightly, attributed to its strained relation with Pakistan over Kashmir issue, corruption and misinformation. Also, political instability in the country is also creating uncertainty in the market.
INDY sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
INDY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 03, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INDY moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INDY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on INDY as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
INDY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INDY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INDY advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
INDY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 287 cases where INDY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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Category WorldStock
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