Intel (INTC, $47.93) shares fall on margin headwind, data center weakness and chip delay news
Shares of semiconductor company Intel were down more than -11% Friday morning. On Thursday, the company reported its third-quarter earnings that were in line with expectations; but it also revealed weakness in its data center business and reaffirmed the delay of its latest-generation chips.
Intel’s third quarter non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.11 per share on revenues of $18.3 billion.
However, data center and personal computer sales reflected cheaper semiconductors putting pressure on the group's gross margins, which were around 200 basis points below the company's prior guidance at 55%.
The company’s Data Center Group experienced a -7% decline in revenue in the quarter.
Looking ahead, Intel boosted its full-year non-GAAP earnings outlook to $4.90 per share, a 5 cents per share increase from its summer forecast. It projects fourth quarter revenues of around $17.4 billion.
"2020 has been the most challenging year in my career with a global pandemic geopolitical tensions challenging business principles of globalization and social unrest," CEO Bob Swan told investors. "Despite all this, we expect to deliver the best year in our storied 52-year history."
In July, Intel delayed its 7 nanometer processors until 2022 for computers and the following year for servers. The company could begin depending on other companies to manufacture its chips, but likely won’t be provide more information until January, according to CEO Bob Swan.
INTC in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on September 23, 2024
INTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 38 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on September 30, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
INTC moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 188 cases where INTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.871) is normal, around the industry mean (7.455). P/E Ratio (97.750) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.452). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.536) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.811) is also within normal values, averaging (43.049).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products
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