JP Morgan (JPM, $113.38) misses Q2 expectations on earnings and revenue
JPMorgan Chase reported its second quarter earnings that were lower than expected by analysts. The banking giant also announced that it is halting share buybacks. It mentioned setting aside $428 million for potential loan losses.
The bank’s earnings plunged -28% from the year-ago quarter to $8.65 billion or $2.76 per share Thursday, missing the analyst expectations of $2.88 per share (according to data from FactSet).
Total revenue slumped -27.6% year-over-year to $31.63 billion, also falling short of the $31.95 billion predicted by FactSet analysts.
Investment banking revenue plunged -61% to $1.4 billion, hurt by lower fees from deals and debt and equity issuances. Trading revenue, however, was up +15% on increases in both fixed income and equity trading revenues.
Profits at the consumer bank decreased +45% and profits at the investment bank fell -26%. The losses were partially offset by a +15% increase in trading fees in the second quarter.
“Geopolitical tension, high inflation, waning consumer confidence, the uncertainty about how high rates have to go and the never-before-seen quantitative tightening and their effects on global liquidity, combined with the war in Ukraine and its harmful effect on global energy and food prices are very likely to have negative consequences on the global economy sometime down the road,” CEO Jamie Dimon mentioned in a statement.
The bank reported $1.1 billion in provision for credit losses. Last year, it released $3 billion from its reserves.
JPM in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024
The 10-day moving average for JPM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 04, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JPM as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPM just turned positive on October 07, 2024. Looking at past instances where JPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 04, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 294 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 14 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.907) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.958). P/E Ratio (12.258) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.448) is also within normal values, averaging (2.643). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.021) as compared to the industry average of (0.054). P/S Ratio (3.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.460).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks