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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 04, 2020

Microsoft (MSFT, $213.55) shares edge lower, amid Trump's Tiktok sale order

Microsoft Corp.   shares fell Tuesday, after  potential suitors surfaced with respect to the planned sale of TikTok's U.S. operations over the coming weeks.

News broke Friday that U.S. President Donald Trump ordered that Chinese app Tiktok should divest its U.S. operations amid concerns over data privacy linked to its China-based owners, ByteDance, following an investigation by Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States. On Sunday, Microsoft said that it's looking at buying TikTok's U.S. business.

Tiktok has been downloaded over 175 million times in the U.S. alone and has 1 billion global users. Trump said the app will be banned in the U.S. if it's not sold by September 15.

"I did say that if you buy it, whatever the price is that goes to whoever owns it, because I guess it’s China essentially, I said a very substantial portion of that price is going to have to come into the Treasury of the United States because we’re making it possible for this deal to happen," Trump told reporters in Washington 

ByteDance said it is considering establishing a TikTok headquarters in a major market outside the United States to better serve its global users.

MSFT enters an Uptrend because Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 31, 2020

This indicator signals that MSFT's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 63 of 90 cases where MSFT's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

Current price $213.44 is above $189.80 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 07/01/20 - 08/03/20, the price experienced a +6% Uptrend. During the week of 07/27/20 - 08/03/20, the stock enjoyed a +6% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 28 of 42 cases where MSFT's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in 221 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 269 of 414 similar cases where MSFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 20 of 50 cases where MSFT's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 40%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 15 of 50 cases where MSFT's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 30%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 22 of 55 cases where MSFT's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 40%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 61%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.07 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.86) is normal, around the industry mean (17.95). P/E Ratio (37.60) is within average values for comparable stocks, (179.43). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.54) is also within normal values, averaging (5.68). Dividend Yield (1.00) settles around the average of (0.34) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.89) is also within normal values, averaging (12.92).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: MSFT

MSFT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025

MSFT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 24, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSFT as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSFT just turned positive on October 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where MSFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for MSFT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 350 cases where MSFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.325) is normal, around the industry mean (19.039). P/E Ratio (38.388) is within average values for comparable stocks, (168.379). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.292) is also within normal values, averaging (2.339). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.870) is also within normal values, averaging (111.134).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), CyberArk Software Ltd (NASDAQ:CYBR), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Nutanix (NASDAQ:NTNX).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 28.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.89T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.89T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 58%. PLGGF experienced the highest price growth at 95%, while TGHL experienced the biggest fall at -46%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 45%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was 196%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MSFT showed earnings on July 30, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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