Microsoft (MSFT, $217.49) is top pick for Morgan Stanley analyst
Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss’ top pick for next year is Microsoft . Weiss has an overweight rating on the software giant’s shares. He also boosted his price target on the stock to $260 from $249.
“With tough near-term comparisons already in consensus estimates, and the multiple having pulled back to 26 times [estimated] 2022 calendar year EPS, we see potential for outperformance in fiscal year 2021 [ending June 30],” Weiss wrote in a commentary. He thinks that the durability of growth and margin expansion are underappreciated.
According to Weiss, a combination of market factors like sector rotation out of software, as well as Microsoft-specific factors have been weighing on the stock. The analyst thinks that there’s still more room for the sector rotation out of software, but “resolution in the fundamental factors should help to offset those pressures and restart momentum in the shares”.
MSFT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025
MSFT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 24, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSFT as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSFT just turned positive on October 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where MSFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for MSFT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 350 cases where MSFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.325) is normal, around the industry mean (19.039). P/E Ratio (38.388) is within average values for comparable stocks, (168.379). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.292) is also within normal values, averaging (2.339). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.870) is also within normal values, averaging (111.134).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a developer of software and harware products
Industry ComputerCommunications
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