A distributor and producer of fertilizer, Mosaic Company just released its earnings for the previous two quarters. The company published its Q3 earnings on November 2, 2022, and its Q4 profits on February 7, 2023.
In Q3 2022, Mosaic Company reported net sales of $2.4 billion, an increase of 4% compared to the same period in the previous year. Gross margin increased by 2 percentage points to 17%, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.43, up from $0.17 in Q3 2021. The company's phosphate segment saw higher sales volumes and prices, which drove the overall sales growth.
Moving on to Q4 2022, Mosaic Company recorded net revenues of $2.6 billion, up 8% from the same quarter the year prior. Adjusted EPS grew from $0.35 in Q4 2021 to $0.58, a 4 percentage point improvement in adjusted gross margin to 20%. While the phosphate portion of the corporation continued to do well, the potash segment witnessed increasing sales volumes and pricing.
While Mosaic Company's earnings have been positive over the last two quarters, the 10-day RSI Oscillator for MOS moved out of overbought territory on February 13, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 31 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 84%.
Both net sales and gross margin increased during the most recent two quarters, according to Mosaic Company's earnings reports. The 10-day RSI Oscillator's recent rise out of overbought area, however, should alert traders that the stock may be transitioning to a bearish trend. Before making any trading decisions, traders may want to take into account this information and the analysis provided by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor.
MOS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 03, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MOS as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MOS turned negative on October 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MOS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 59 cases where MOS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOS advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where MOS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MOS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.849) is normal, around the industry mean (3.783). P/E Ratio (9.266) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.688). MOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.193) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.575). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.789) is also within normal values, averaging (642.685).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of phosphate and potash
Industry ChemicalsAgricultural