Mosaic (MOS, $52.89) misses Q3 expectations
The Mosaic Company reported earnings of $2.42 per share in third-quarter 2022, compared to 97 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. The company’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.22 per share, below Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.52 (as reported by Zacks.com).
Net sales climbed +56% year over year to $5,348.5 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6,010.1.
The Potash division generated net sales of $1.4 billion in the quarter, up around +137% year-over-year, on the back of higher prices and volumes. Phosphate segment’s net sales increased around +23% year over year to $1.6 billion, on higher prices. Revenue from the Mosaic Fertilizantes segment climbed +44% year over year to around $2.6 billion in the quarter, driven by a price rise.
The Mosaic Company indicated that it is anticipating persistently tight grain and oilseed markets through the balance of 2022 and into 2023, with the war in Ukraine coupled with challenging growing conditions in regions such as the Americas, Europe and China having dampened global agricultural production. The company expects total capital expenditures of $1.3 billion for full-year 2022, and selling, general and administrative expenses in the range of $460-$490 million.
MOS sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MOS moved above the 200-day moving average on May 02, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 16, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MOS as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOS just turned positive on April 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where MOS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MOS moved above its 50-day moving average on April 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MOS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 22, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOS advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MOS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where MOS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MOS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.849) is normal, around the industry mean (3.524). P/E Ratio (9.266) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.688). MOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.193) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.575). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.789) is also within normal values, averaging (681.478).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a producer of phosphate and potash
Industry ChemicalsAgricultural