Mosaic (MOS, $52.89) misses Q3 expectations
The Mosaic Company reported earnings of $2.42 per share in third-quarter 2022, compared to 97 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. The company’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.22 per share, below Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.52 (as reported by Zacks.com).
Net sales climbed +56% year over year to $5,348.5 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6,010.1.
The Potash division generated net sales of $1.4 billion in the quarter, up around +137% year-over-year, on the back of higher prices and volumes. Phosphate segment’s net sales increased around +23% year over year to $1.6 billion, on higher prices. Revenue from the Mosaic Fertilizantes segment climbed +44% year over year to around $2.6 billion in the quarter, driven by a price rise.
The Mosaic Company indicated that it is anticipating persistently tight grain and oilseed markets through the balance of 2022 and into 2023, with the war in Ukraine coupled with challenging growing conditions in regions such as the Americas, Europe and China having dampened global agricultural production. The company expects total capital expenditures of $1.3 billion for full-year 2022, and selling, general and administrative expenses in the range of $460-$490 million.
MOS's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for MOS moved out of oversold territory on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 30 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 59 cases where MOS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOS just turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where MOS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOS advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MOS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for MOS moved below the 200-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for MOS entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.608) is normal, around the industry mean (3.069). P/E Ratio (6.345) is within average values for comparable stocks, (127.687). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.830) is also within normal values, averaging (1.055). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.656) is also within normal values, averaging (354.591).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MOS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a producer of phosphate and potash
Industry ChemicalsAgricultural
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