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Nov 08, 2022
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Mosaic (MOS, $52.89) misses Q3 expectations

Mosaic (MOS, $52.89) misses Q3 expectations

The Mosaic Company reported earnings of $2.42 per share in third-quarter 2022, compared to 97 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. The company’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.22 per share, below Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.52 (as reported by Zacks.com).

Net sales climbed +56% year over year to $5,348.5 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6,010.1.

The Potash division generated net sales of $1.4 billion in the quarter, up around +137% year-over-year, on the back of higher prices and volumes. Phosphate segment’s net sales increased around +23% year over year to $1.6 billion, on higher prices. Revenue from the Mosaic Fertilizantes segment climbed +44% year over year to around $2.6 billion in the quarter, driven by a price rise.

The Mosaic Company indicated that it is anticipating persistently tight grain and oilseed markets through the balance of 2022 and into 2023, with the war in Ukraine coupled with challenging growing conditions in regions such as the Americas, Europe and China having dampened global agricultural production. The company expects total capital expenditures of $1.3 billion for full-year 2022, and  selling, general and administrative expenses in the range of $460-$490 million.

Related Ticker: MOS

MOS's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for MOS moved out of oversold territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 26 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 81%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 61 cases where MOS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOS just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where MOS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +2.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOS advanced for three days, in 219 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

MOS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

MOS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MOS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator for MOS entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.510) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.418). MOS has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-9.104) as compared to the industry average of (8.682). MOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.020) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.867). Dividend Yield (0.048) settles around the average of (0.129) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.645) is also within normal values, averaging (1.476).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MOS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CF Industries Holding (NYSE:CF), Mosaic Company (The) (NYSE:MOS).

Industry description

The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry is 5.85B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 611 to 33.13B. NTR holds the highest valuation in this group at 33.13B. The lowest valued company is BHILQ at 611.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18%. FMC experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while BIOX experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 40%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 31% and the average quarterly volume growth was 63%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a producer of phosphate and potash

Industry ChemicalsAgricultural

Industry
Chemicals Agricultural
Address
101 East Kennedy Boulevard
Phone
+1 800 918-8270
Employees
13249
Web
https://www.mosaicco.com
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