AI trading robots have been gaining popularity in recent years due to their ability to analyze market data and make trading decisions based on complex algorithms. One such robot, Swing Trader: Stocks from Consumer Sector (TA&FA), has been identified as a top performer in Tickeron's robot factory, generating 4.62% for MTH over the course of a week.
However, recent market indicators suggest that MTH may be shifting towards a new downward move. The Momentum Indicator, which measures the rate of change in a stock's price, moved below the 0 level on May 04, 2023. This could indicate that the stock is beginning to decline and traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
To further support this analysis, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the Momentum Indicator turned negative. In 61 of those cases, the stock moved further down in the following days, leading to an odds of a decline at 73%. This suggests that there may be a higher probability of a decline in the coming days for MTH.
In terms of earnings, MTH's last earnings report on April 26 showed earnings per share of $3.54, beating the estimated earnings per share of $2.58. With 273.41K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization of MTH sits at 4.64B. This indicates that the company is performing well financially, but it's important to note that stock prices are not solely based on earnings.
Overall, while MTH has shown positive earnings results, recent market indicators suggest that there may be a higher probability of a decline in the coming days. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options to mitigate potential losses. It's important to do your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions, and to be aware of the risks involved in trading.
The 10-day moving average for MTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTH as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTH turned negative on October 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MTH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for MTH entered a downward trend on October 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTH advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.349) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (8.633) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). MTH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (1.039) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company which designs and builds single family homes
Industry Homebuilding