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published in Blogs
Dec 10, 2019
Netflix(NFLX, $297.35) gets rating downgrade, warning on subscriber loss from Needham & Company

Netflix(NFLX, $297.35) gets rating downgrade, warning on subscriber loss from Needham & Company

Netflix Inc. shares fell Tuesday, after analysts at Needham & Company lowered their rating on the stock.

Needham analyst Laura Martin cut her rating on the video streaming company’s shares to "underperform", from "hold". Martin indicated that heated competition in the online streaming industry could cause Netflix to lose as many as 4 million of its 60.6 million U.S. subscribers next year in its premium pricing tier of between $9 and $16 per month. 

According to Martin, Netflix would likely have to offer lower-priced options, alongside its premium tier, in order to compete better with other streaming platforms like those from Walt Disney Co, Viacom, Comcast and Apple - all of which offer a net price bracket of between $5 and $7 per month. 

 

Related Ticker: NFLX

NFLX in +1.42% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on April 16, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 294 cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of overbought territory on April 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on April 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NFLX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.821) is normal, around the industry mean (16.368). P/E Ratio (30.590) is within average values for comparable stocks, (78.527). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.868) is also within normal values, averaging (12.391). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.749) is also within normal values, averaging (112.815).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Skydance Corporation (NASDAQ:PSKY), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 11.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 399.31B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 399.31B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3,142%. AERA experienced the highest price growth at 344%, while KUKEY experienced the biggest fall at -44%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 50%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -13 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. NFLX showed earnings on April 16, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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a provider of online movie rental subscription services

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