Netflix (NFLX, $313.34) shares decline, following Wells Fargo downgrade on cost concerns
Shares of Netflix were falling Monday, following a rating downgrade on the stock.
Wells Fargo Securities lowered its rating on the video streaming company's stock to under-perform. It also slashed its price target on the shares to $265 a share, from $308.
Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahall suggested that Netflix could be incurring a steep cost in its fight for market share in the cut-throat video streaming industry. The company could be overpaying for subscribers, according to the analyst. Cahall indicated that Netflix may be able to meet the Street's expectations for subscriber growth, but the massive spending towards chasing the growth is likely to pressurize the company's cash flow. Netflix's cumulative free-cash flow might fall short of analyst expectations by as much as $18 billion between 2019 and 2025, according to Cahall . Netflix won't be able to generate positive earnings on a per subscriber basis until 2022, per Cahall's analysis.
Competition in the streaming business is getting only getting hotter. Walt Disney recently launched its own streaming service, Disney+. Apple is also making its presence felt in the market with its Apple TV+.
Momentum Indicator for NFLX turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NFLX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFLX just turned positive on June 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where NFLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 300 cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of overbought territory on July 01, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NFLX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.920) is normal, around the industry mean (5.849). P/E Ratio (51.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (95.272). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.889) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). NFLX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (8.190) is also within normal values, averaging (30.943).
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a provider of online movie rental subscription services
Industry MoviesEntertainment
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