Nike (NKE, $82.92) faces headwinds in North American market; but beats fiscal Q3 earnings estimate
Nike Inc. reported lower-than-expected sales in North America in its fiscal third quarter, even as earnings beat analysts’ estimates.
In North America, the sports shoe giant's sales grew +7 percent year-over-year to $3.81 billion (excluding currency changes) in the quarter, which was lower than what some analysts’ expected. Nike’s domestic business apparently continues to feel pressure from rival companies like Under Armour, Adidas and Vans.
Growth in international sales fared better. In Europe, the Middle East and Africa, sales grew +12% (excluding currency changes), as mentioned by Nike. Revenue in China surged +24%. Sales grew +14% in Asia Pacific and Latin America.
According to Nike, its revenue from Converse shoes declined -2% year-over-year to $463 million, largely due to softening sales in the U.S. and Europe.
Nevertheless, the company’s total adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share surpassed analysts’ estimates of 65 cents per share (based on Refinitiv data). Total revenue increased +7% year-over-year to $9.611 billion, which was almost in line with analysts’ expected $9.612 billion. Nike said that its digital business grew +36% year-over-year.
The shoe maker bought back 9.8 million shares, worth $754 million, during the quarter.
NKE in -2.98% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on December 30, 2024
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where NKE declined for three days, in of 304 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 26, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NKE as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NKE turned negative on December 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NKE moved below its 50-day moving average on December 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The Aroon Indicator for NKE entered a downward trend on November 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NKE advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NKE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NKE's P/B Ratio (9.862) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.082). P/E Ratio (27.224) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.032) is also within normal values, averaging (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.762) is also within normal values, averaging (1.500).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NKE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NKE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a maker of athletic footwear and apparel
Industry ApparelFootwear